利用深度学习模型的潜力解释水文气象变量对土壤温度预测的影响

S. Elsayed, Meenu Gupta, Gopal Chaudhary, Soham Taneja, H. Gaur, M. Gad, Mohamed Hamdy Eid, Attila Kovács, Szűcs Péter, A. Gaagai, U. Schmidhalter
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引用次数: 6

摘要

土壤温度(ST)量化的重要性可以促进不同的生态模拟过程以及农业活动。在文献中,很明显,土壤支持着地球上95%以上的生活栖息地和粮食生产,到2060年,这一需求将增加到预期消费量的500倍。本文旨在分析利用随机森林(Random Forest, RF)、支持向量(Support Vector)、神经网络(Neural Network, NN)、线性回归(Linear Regression, LR)和长短期记忆网络(Long - short Memory Network, LSTM)等不同的机器学习模型预测某一区域ST的对比方法。本研究利用每小时的湿度、露点、降雨量、太阳辐射和气压计读数来制定模型。采用各种性能标准评价模型的预测能力,结果表明,尽管其他模型的预测精度尚可,但有希望的能力属于LSTM。建模结果表明,LSTM模型的均方根误差最小(RMSE = 3.3255),与NN (RMSE = 3.4796)、SVM (RMSE = 3.5766)和RF (RMSE = 3.8128)相比,平均预测误差降低6%,LR的预测精度提高15%。该模型符合最新的机器学习行业标准,并允许在低功耗边缘计算设备上进行低成本的实验性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Interpretation the Influence of Hydrometeorological Variables on Soil Temperature Prediction Using the Potential of Deep Learning Model
The importance of soil temperature (ST) quantification can contribute to diverse ecological modelling processes as well as for agricultural activities. Over the literature, it was evident that soil supports more than 95% of living habitats and food production on earth, and this demand will increase to 500 years’ times in expected consumption in 2060. This paper aims to analyses the contrastive approach to predict the ST of a certain region with the help of different machine learning models, including Random Forest (RF), Support Vector, Neural Network (NN), Linear Regression (LR) and Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM). The study was utilized the hourly humidity, dew point, rainfall, solar radiation, and barometer readings for the formulation of the models. Various performance criteria were employed to evaluate the prediction skills of the models and the results depicted that the promising ability belong to LSTM despite the acceptable prediction accuracy achieved by other models. The modelling outcomes revealed that LSTM model attained the lowest root mean square error (RMSE = 3.3255) decreased the average prediction error by 6% with regards to NN (RMSE = 3.4796), SVM (RMSE = 3.5766), and RF (RMSE = 3.8128), and improved the prediction accuracy of LR by 15%. The model is in compliance with the latest machine learning industry standards and allows low-cost experimental performances on low powered edge computing devices.
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