气候变化对巴克塔普尔地区农场适应策略的影响

S. Shrestha, S. Khatiwada
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摘要

本文探讨了气候变化对巴克塔普尔地区Suryabinayak市社区基于农场的适应策略的影响。数据收集采用混合方法(QUAN-QUL)研究设计,定量方法占主导地位。在第5区和第9区有目的抽样107户。主要资料通过实地观察、个人访谈、焦点小组讨论(FGD)和关键信息调查(KIS)等方法收集。然后通过三角测量对这些数据进行分析。辅助数据从档案和电子资源中收集。通过李克特(1-5)量表对个体经验、感知和观点进行分析,并采用Cronbach alpha进行显著性检验。调查结果显示,超过65%的家庭表示他们从广播、电视和报纸上获得有关气候变化的信息。一位关键人物指出,近二十年来,谷物作物产量自过去二十年以来一直在下降。在这方面,超过72%的家庭报告说,气温上升是谷物作物产量下降的主要原因。紧随其后的是频繁的洪水(19.6%)和干旱(8.4%)。他们似乎已经适应了多样化的生计策略,以减轻气候变化的不利条件,如蔬菜种植、花卉种植、蘑菇种植、家禽、畜牧业和渔业,根据他们的社会经济系统。然而,根据当地社区的适应能力,他们的反应在时间和空间上是不同的。在这种情况下,地方政府、非政府组织、金融机构和其他外部支持的合作需要提高适应能力。但是,利益相关者之间似乎没有任何合作来减轻气候变化的影响。因此,社区的大多数人仍然不得不依靠传统的耕作方法。因此,以农场为基础的适应性策略似乎每天都在面临风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Climate Change on the Farm-based Adaptive Strategies in Bhaktapur District
This paper explores the impact of climate change on the farm-based adaptive strategies of the communities in Suryabinayak Municipality, Bhaktapur district. The mixed-method (QUAN-QUL) research design was applied to data collection, although, quantitative method is predominant. There were 107 households sampled purposively from Ward No. 5 and 9. Primary data were collected from field observation, personal interviews, focus group discussion (FGD), and Key informant survey (KIS) methods. Then these data have been analyzed through triangulation. Secondary data were collected from archives and e-resources. Individual experiences, perceptions and views have been analyzed from the Likert (1-5) scale and the Cronbach alpha was applied to the significant test. The findings showed that more than 65 percent of households said they received information on climate change from Radio, TV, and Newspapers. One of the Key persons stated that for almost two decades, cereal crop production is declining since the last two decades. In this regard, more than 72 percent of households reported that the temperature rise is the main reason for declining in yielding of cereal crops. It has followed by the frequent floods in the second (19.6%) and droughts in the least (8.4%). They seem to have adapted diversified livelihood strategies to mitigate the adverse conditions of climate change, such as vegetable farming, floriculture, mushroom farming, poultry, animal husbandry, and fishing according to their socioeconomic systems. However, their responses are varying across time and space based on the adaptive capacity of the local community. In this situation, the cooperation of local governments, non-governmental organizations, financial institutions, and other external supports need to increase adaptive capacity. But there does not seem to be any cooperation between the stakeholders to mitigate the effects of climate change. As a result, the majority of the community still has to rely on traditional farming methods. Thus, the farm-based adaptive strategy seems to be at risk day-by-day.  
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