基于层次分析法的跨海桥梁风险管理研究——以杭州湾跨海大桥为例

Wenxing Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

今天,随着城市化进程的加快,国家通过桥梁和道路建设了广泛的交通网络,方便了人们的日常出行,极大地促进了国民经济的发展。然而,由于跨海跨海大桥跨越海湾,整体规模大,施工环境复杂,技术含量高,施工过程中风险因素的客观存在是无法完全避免的。在跨海桥梁建设中,一旦发生施工安全事故,将给工程建设造成不可弥补的损失。以杭州湾跨海大桥为实际案例,运用层次分析法识别杭州湾跨海大桥全生命周期内可能存在的风险因素,建立相应的风险评价体系,对风险的重要性和概率进行评价,并对风险的重要性进行排序,通过风险转移、风险保留等措施对相应的施工风险进行控制。研究实例表明,跨海大桥项目的项目风险可以结合层次分析法对项目面临的各种风险的重要性进行识别、分析和评价,从而采取相应的规避方法,降低项目风险损失,实现项目建设预期目标。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on Risk Management of Cross-Sea Bridges Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process—Taking Hangzhou Bay Bridge as an Example
Today, as the process of urbanization is accelerating, the country builds an extensive transportation network through bridges and roads, which facilitates the daily travel of the people and greatly promotes the development of the national economy. However, due to the cross-sea bridge spanning the bay, the overall scale, the complex construction environment, and the high technology content, the objective existence of risk factors in the construction process cannot be completely avoided. In the construction of cross-sea bridges, once a construction safety accident occurs, it will cause irreparable losses to the construction of the project. Taking Hangzhou Bay Bridge as an actual case, using the Analytic Hierarchy Process to identify possible risk factors during the life cycle of Hangzhou Bay Bridge, establish a corresponding risk evaluation system to evaluate the importance and probability of risk, and to rank the importance of risks, and control the corresponding construction risks by adopting measures such as risk transfer and risk retention. The research example shows that the project risk of the cross-sea bridge project can be combined with the analytic hierarchy process to identify, analyze and evaluate the importance of the various risks faced by the project, so as to adopt corresponding avoidance methods to reduce the project risk loss and achieve the project construction expectations Target.
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