印度长期电力需求情景:能源效率的影响

2018 International Conference on Power Energy, Environment and Intelligent Control (PEEIC) Pub Date : 2018-04-01 DOI:10.1109/PEEIC.2018.8665452

Ashutosh Negi, Atul Kumar

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引用次数: 4

摘要

电力需求预测是整个电力供应链机制的重要组成部分。在本文中，制定了印度到2030年的部门电力消费情景。在这些情况下，节能电器/设备、电动汽车、家用屋顶太阳能光伏和电动烹饪装置的普及率不同，可能会影响各个行业的电力需求。作为能源系统模型的一部分，提出了三种情景，即照常营业(BAU)、转型和积极进取，以分析能源效率对部门用电量的影响。从NITI Aayog的印度能源安全情景(IESS)中提取的能源效率因素被纳入BAU情景，以获得转型和激进情景下的电力消耗。模型结果表明，到2030年，能源效率将在指导电力消费模式方面发挥重要作用。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Long-term Electricity Demand Scenarios for India: Implications of Energy Efficiency

Electricity demand projection is a crucial element in entire electricity supply chain mechanism. In this paper, India’s sectoral electricity consumption scenarios till 2030 are developed. These scenarios incorporate different level of penetration of energy efficient appliances/equipment, electric vehicles, domestic rooftop solar PV and electric cooking devices which may influence electricity demand across various sectors. Three scenarios as a part of energy system model viz. business as usual (BAU), transition and aggressive are presented to analyse the impact of energy efficiency in sectoral electricity consumption. Energy efficiency factors, taken from India Energy Security Scenarios (IESS) of NITI Aayog are incorporated in BAU scenario to obtain electricity consumption in transition and aggressive scenarios. The modelling results indicate that energy efficiency will play a significant role in guiding electricity consumption pattern by 2030.

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2018 International Conference on Power Energy, Environment and Intelligent Control (PEEIC)

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