基于随机森林算法的洪水灾害风险评估研究

H. Cai
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在洪水灾害风险评估中,孕灾环境、承灾体和致灾因素是风险评估指标的核心类别。采用Bagging方法对样本进行人工识别,并对训练数据集进行整理,构建基于随机森林算法的洪水灾害风险评估模型。选择支持向量机作为控制模型进行验证,进一步评价模型的性能。通过对各影响因素重要性的评价可以发现,当地环境中的降水量、洪水持续时间和土壤含水量是评价洪水灾害风险的核心因素。为了应对高灾害风险等级数据量少的情况,本文采用$\mathbf{R}$语言中的截止机制对投票阶段的随机森林结果进行校正,取得了较好的结果。本文的研究为洪水灾害风险评估提供了一种基于人工智能的新思路。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on Flood Disaster Risk Assessment Based on Random Forest Algorithm
In flood disaster risk assessment, disaster-pregnant environments, disaster-bearing bodies, and disaster-causing factors are the core categories of risk assessment indicators. A flood disaster risk assessment model based on the random forest algorithm can be constructed by manually identifying the samples and organizing the training data set using the Bagging method. SVM can be selected as a control model for verification to evaluate the model performance further. According to the evaluation of the importance of various influencing factors, it can be found that precipitation, flood duration, and soil moisture content in the local environment are the core factors for evaluating flood disaster risk. In order to cope with the small amount of data for high disaster risk levels, this paper uses the cutoff mechanism in $\mathbf{R}$ language to correct the random forest results in the voting stage and obtains good results. The research in this paper provides a new idea based on artificial intelligence for flood disaster risk assessment.
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