地面臭氧变化的趋势探测和模拟

Siti Hasliza Ahamad Rusmili, Khairul Nizam Bin Maulud, F. Hamzah, Mohd Talib Latif
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引用次数: 0

摘要

空气污染是世界上最紧迫的环境挑战之一,特别是在工业和城市地区迅速发展的时候。臭氧浓度的增加是影响人类和环境的空气污染物之一。本研究旨在确定2004 - 2020年吉隆坡Cheras市区地面臭氧与气象因子参数之间的变化趋势,并评价最适合的模式。采用箱线图和Mann Kendall检验来定义各参数趋势的可用性,采用广义加性模型(GAM)作为分析模型。在此基础上,得出了臭氧和温度的变化趋势。在GAM中,温度对臭氧浓度有显著影响(p<2e-16),使用性能指标(AIC, BIC, R方),选择第一种模型,包括温度和湿度,因为它的性能更好。结果表明,气象因子控制着城市臭氧浓度的变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trend Detection and Modelling The Changes of Ground Level Ozone
Air pollution is one of the world's most pressing environmental challenges, mainly when industrial and urban regions develop rapidly. One of the air pollutants that concern humans and the environment is the increase in ozone concentration. This study aims to identify the trend between ground-level ozone with parameters of meteorological factors and to evaluate the best-fitted model in urban areas, Cheras, Kuala Lumpur, from 2004 to 2020. Boxplot and Mann Kendall Test are used to define the availability of trends at each parameter, while the generalized additive model (GAM) is used as the analytical model. Based on the result, there is a trend for ozone and temperature. In GAM, temperature shows significant (p<2e-16) to ozone concentrations, and using the performance indicator (AIC, BIC, R square), the first model is chosen, including temperature and humidity, because of the better performance. The findings show that meteorological factors control the changes of ozone concentration in urban areas.
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