使用基于分析历史数据的遗传算法生成长期交易系统规则

Dmitry Iskrich, D. Grigoriev
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引用次数: 8

摘要

在当今时代,交易的成功取决于选择正确的策略。算法交易通常基于技术分析——一种将一个或几个技术指标的价值转化为买入或卖出信号的方法。因此,每个交易者的主要挑战是选择和使用最合适的交易规则。在我们的工作中,我们提出了一种进化算法来生成和选择最适合的交易规则,这些规则以二叉决策树的形式呈现。这种方法的一个显著特点是借助每天重新计算的动态范围来解释对技术指标现状的评价。这允许创建长期交易规则。我们以美国IT行业前5大股票为例,论证了该系统的有效性,并讨论了改进该系统的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Generating long-term trading system rules using a genetic algorithm based on analyzing historical data
In current times, trading success depends on choosing a correct strategy. Algorithmic trading is often based on technical analysis — an approach where the values of one or several technical indicators are translated into buy or sell signals. Thus, every trader's main challenge is the choice and use of the most fitting trading rules. In our work, we suggest an evolutionary algorithm for generating and selecting the most fitting trading rules for interday trading, which are presented in the form of binary decision trees. A distinctive feature of this approach is the interpretation of the evaluation of the current state of technical indicators with the help of dynamic ranges that are recalculated on a daily basis. This allows to create long-term trading rules. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this system for the Top-5 stocks of the United States IT sector and discuss the ways to improve it.
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