撒哈拉以南非洲包容性增长的挑战:安哥拉和尼日利亚的比较分析

S. Igbatayo, B. Afolabi, Phd, O. Babalola
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引用次数: 4

摘要

自世纪之交以来,非洲经济经历了相当大的转变,持续而强劲的增长,与1970年代至1990年代几十年缓慢甚至负增长形成鲜明对比。在全球金融危机之后,该地区的经济增长率从2002-2008年的平均5.6%降至2009年的2.2%;非洲迅速复苏,2010年和2012年的平均增长率分别为4.6%和6.2%,2013年和2014年分别为4.0%和4.3%。撒哈拉以南非洲地区的经济增长更为强劲,过去十年平均约为6%。这一发展使该地区被公认为近年来世界第二高的经济增长。然而,撒哈拉以南非洲的当代经济增长在很大程度上没有创造就业机会或增加生计机会。因此,整个地区的贫困水平仍然相对较高,占人口的48%。缺乏包容性增长带来的挑战在安哥拉和尼日利亚尤为明显,这两个国家的经济都是由石油工业驱动的。因此,本文的主要目的是阐明撒哈拉以南非洲地区因缺乏包容性增长而面临的挑战。本文采用实证数据分析了安哥拉和尼日利亚的案例研究,发现这两个国家都是资源丰富的经济体,经济状况相对较高,缺乏广泛的就业机会,对地方性贫困造成了严重后果。因此,本文提出了一个以减贫战略、企业发展和能力建设为基础的政策框架,旨在促进作为非洲经济基石的基础广泛的经济增长。------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 提交日期:14 07 - 2017验收日期:15-07-2017 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Challenges of Inclusive Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Comparative Analysis of Angola and Nigeria
Since the turn of the Century, African economies have undergone considerable transformation, with consistent and robust growth, in sharp contrast to decades of slow or even negative growth, which characterized the 1970s into the 1990s. While the region’s economies slowed down from an average of 5.6% during the period 2002-2008 to 2.2% in 2009, in the wake of the global financial crisis; Africa promptly recovered, with an average growth rate of 4.6% in 2010 and 6.2% in 2012, as well as 4.0 and 4.3% for 2013 and 2014, respectively. In Sub-Saharan Africa, economic growth is even more robust, averaging about 6% over the past decade. This development has made the region to be acknowledged with the second highest economic growth in the world in recent times. However, contemporary economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa is largely unaccompanied by employment generation or increased livelihood opportunities. Consequently, poverty levels across the region remain relatively high, at 48% of the population. The challenges posed by lack of inclusive growth are particularly evident in Angola and Nigeria, countries that feature economies driven by the petroleum industry. Therefore, the major objective of this paper is to shed light on the challenges associated with lack of inclusive growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. The paper employs empirical data to analyze Angola and Nigeria case studies, which reveal both countries as resource-rich economies featuring relatively high economic profiles, devoid of widespread employment opportunities, with grave consequences for endemic poverty. Consequently, the paper presents a policy framework, grounded in poverty reduction strategies, enterprise development and capacity building aimed at promoting broad-based economic growth as the cornerstone of African economies. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Date of Submission: 14 -07-2017 Date of acceptance: 15-07-2017 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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