投资和消费的结构变化:一个统一的方法

Berthold Herrendorf, Richard Rogerson, Á. Valentinyi
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引用次数: 14

摘要

现有的结构变化模型通常假设所有的投资都产生于制造业。这种假设严重违背事实:在战后的美国,服务业增加值占投资支出的比例一直在稳步增长,目前已超过0.5%。我们建立了一个新的模型,对投资和消费的结构性变化采取统一的方法。我们的统一方法带来了三个新的见解:技术变革是内生的投资特有的;各部门全要素生产率保持不变与结构变化和总量平衡增长的共同发生是不一致的;全要素生产率增长最慢的部门会逐渐吸收所有资源。本文还提供了战后美国对第一个和第三个洞见的实证支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Structural Change in Investment and Consumption: A Unified Approach
Existing models of structural change typically assume that all of investment is produced in manufacturing. This assumption is strongly counterfactual: in the postwar US, the share of services value added in investment expenditure has been steadily growing and it now exceeds 0.5. We build a new model, which takes a unified approach to structural change in investment and consumption. Our unified approach leads to three new insights: technological change is endogenously investment specific; having constant TFP growth in all sectors is inconsistent with structural change and aggregate balanced growth occurring jointly; the sector with the slowest TFP growth absorbs all resources asymptotically. We also provide empirical support from the postwar US for the first and third insight.
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