使用用户评论和实时价格预测加密货币价格波动

Pavitra Mohanty, Darshan Patel, Parth Patel, Sudipta Roy
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引用次数: 7

摘要

本文展示了对未来加密货币价格波动的预测。用户的评论和推文使用Apache Flume和Price数据从交易所获取。比特币首先由其盟友中本聪(Satoshi Nakamoto)记录,这是第一个分散的货币支付系统,由于其点对点性质、加密技术和货币单位的结合,在金融体系、经济学、社交媒体和计算机科学领域引起了相当大的关注。预测比特币和其他加密货币的价格是一个巨大的挑战,因为它本质上非常复杂和动态。在本文中,我们试图使用LSTM(长短期记忆)来预测比特币等加密货币的未来价格,并使用Twitter数据来预测公众情绪。通过结合市场情绪和社会情绪,因为比特币的价格显示出混合属性。我们还从区块链信息中选择了一些对比特币供需有重大影响的其他重要特征,并使用它们来训练模型,以提高对未来比特币价格的预测能力。我们对来自社交媒体的数据如何影响比特币的价格进行了深入研究,因此我们在模型训练中包含了twitter数据。我们的模型显示了考虑到比特币的高波动性,LSTM对比特币价格的预测有多好。我们的模型给出的精度为60%,准确度为50%。在这种情况下,考虑到高度波动的市场,更多的重点不是准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predicting Fluctuations in Cryptocurrencies' Price using users' Comments and Real-time Prices
This paper shows the prediction of fluctuation in the future price of cryptocurrencies. Users’ comments and tweets from twitter using Apache Flume and Price data was fetched from exchanges. Bitcoin first documented by allies Satoshi Nakamoto, the first decentralized currency payment system has gained a considerable attention in the financial system, economics, social media and computer science due to its combination of peer-to-peer nature, encryption technology, and monetary unit. Predicting the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is a great challenge because it is immensely complex and dynamic in nature. In this paper, we have tried to predict the future price of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin using LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) and used Twitter data to predict public mood. By combining both market sentiment and social sentiment because bitcoin price shows mixed properties. We also have selected some other important features from the blockchain information which has a major impact on Bitcoin’s supply and demand and using them to train model that improves the predictive power of the future Bitcoin price. We have performed a deep study of how data from social media affect the price of Bitcoin and so we have included the twitter data in model training. Our model shows that how well LSTM predict the price of Bitcoin considering the high volatility. The precision given by our model is 60% and accuracy is 50%. More focus is not given to accuracy, in this case, considering the highly volatile market.
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