基于LSTM的时间序列数据快速预测方法

Xu Song
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引用次数: 0

摘要

LSTM的复杂结构增加了参数的数量,导致训练时间增加。我们提出了一种改进的基于LSTM的时间序列数据预测方法,可以在保证一定预测精度的同时显著减少训练时间。我们的方法首先使用小波分解将数据分解为低频数据和高频数据,然后使用LSTM学习低频数据的特征,使用Random Forest学习高频数据的特征,最后使用小波重构将LSTM和Random Forest对不同频率数据的预测重构为预测数据。在三个不同领域的数据集上的测试结果表明,我们的方法可以很好地预测时间序列数据的整体趋势,但局部细节的预测结果略差。与直接使用LSTM相比,我们的方法在三个数据集上的平均mae提高了15.52%,平均mse提高了31.10%,平均训练时间减少了69.66%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Faster Time Series Data Prediction Method Based on LSTM
The complex structure of LSTM increases the number of parameters and leads to an increase in training time. We propose an improved prediction method for time series data based on LSTM, which can significantly reduce the training time while ensuring a certain prediction accuracy. Our method first uses wavelet decomposition to decompose the data into low-frequency data and high-frequency data and then uses LSTM to learn the characteristics of low-frequency data, use Random Forest to learn the characteristics of high-frequency data, and finally uses wavelet reconstruction to reconstruct the predictions of LSTM and Random Forest for different frequency data into prediction data. Test results on datasets in three different domains show that our method can predict the overall trend of time series data well, but the prediction results for local details are slightly worse. Compared with using LSTM directly, our method increases the average mae by 15.52% and the average mse by 31.10% on the three datasets but reduces the average training time by 69.66%.
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