用现金流折现法和相对估值法进行股票估值

Jihan Alfadilla, W. Dalam
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引用次数: 0

摘要

. 本研究旨在确定印尼证券交易所上市的房地产和房地产行业股票的内在价值,使用贴现现金流(DCF)方法与公司自由现金流(FCFF)方法和相对估值(RV)方法与PBV和PER方法。本研究样本为MTLA、JRPT、DMAS、CTRA、MKPI和PPRO。使用的数据是2015-2019年的历史财务数据,用于计算每家公司的历史财务业绩,并预测2020-2024年。结果发现,采用DCF-FCFF方法,在所有情景下,MTLA、JRPT、DMAS和CTRA股票均被低估。在所有情况下,MKPI和PPRO股票都被高估了。同时,运用相对估值法,MTLA被低估7.82%,JRPT被低估32.97%,DMAS被低估67.85%,CTRA被低估32.45%,MKPI被高估-47.69%,PPRO被低估33.78%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock Valuation Using Discounted Cash Flow and Relative Valuation Methods
. This research aims to determine the intrinsic value of stocks in the property and real estate sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method with Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) approach and Relative Valuation (RV) method with PBV and PER approaches. The samples of this research were MTLA, JRPT, DMAS, CTRA, MKPI, and PPRO. Data used were historical financial data from 2015-2019 to calculate the historical financial performance of each company and projected from 2020-2024. The result found that by using the DCF-FCFF method, MTLA, JRPT, DMAS, and CTRA shares were undervalued in all scenarios. MKPI and PPRO shares were overvalued in all scenarios. Meanwhile, by using the Relative Valuation method, MTLA were undervalued by 7.82%, JRPT were undervalued by 32.97%, DMAS were undervalued by 67.85%, CTRA were undervalued by 32.45%, MKPI were overvalued by -47.69%, and PPRO were undervalued by 33.78%.
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