多代社会学习模型:信息级联对社会总福利的影响

Marziyeh Barghandan, M. Malekzadeh, Atefeh Safdel, Iren Mazloomzadeh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去的几十年里,人们在决策过程中结合了环境学习(观察)和社会学习(相互沟通联系)。社区中的人们面临的限制或条件会影响他们的决定。在本文中,我们提出了一个多代社会学习模型来分析一个有一些局限性的世界。然后我们把世界变成一个自由的世界,人们试图利用这些变化找到正确的决定。在该模型中,人们基于顺序决策模型进行初始决策,从而导致人们进入羊群行为。然后我们改变世界,使与其他社区建立联系成为可能。我们展示了当人们利用他们的观察、他们新获得的关于社会关系的信息和他们的个性因素来审查他们当前的决定时,总福利将如何得到改善。我们的模型中还有一个参数,用来检验人格因素值对社区中正确决策百分比的影响。我们的主要结果表明,当人们使用他们获得的信息而不是坚持从众行为时,即使人们只使用自己的观察,世界的总福利也会更好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A multi-generational social learning model: The effect of information cascade on aggregate welfare
For the past decades, people combine both environmental learnings (observations) and social learnings (intercommunication links) in their decision process. People in the communities face limitations or conditions which have effects on their decisions. In this paper, we present a multigenerational social learning model to analyse a world with some limitations. Then we turn the world to a free world and people try to find correct decisions utilizing these changes. In the presented model, people make their initial decisions based on sequential decision model which leads them into the herd behavior. Then we change the world so that making connections with other communities is possible. We show how aggregate welfare will be improved when people use their observations, their new obtained information on social ties and their personality factors to review their current decisions. We also have a parameter in our model that examines the effect of personality factor value on the percentage of the correct decision among the communities. Our main results show when people use their obtained information rather than sticking to the herd behavior, the aggregate welfare will be better in the world, even if people use only their own observations.
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