中共体国家的金融发展与经济增长

Luc Nembot Ndeffo, C. Kuipou, Edward Edokat Tafah
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本研究工作的主要目的是利用面板数据估计技术确定CEMAC国家的金融发展与人均实际GDP增长率之间存在的关系。它强调金融发展对增长的相互影响,以便确定存在的关系类型并提出政策建议。为此,我们分别用流动性率和人均实际GDP增长率来衡量金融发展和经济增长。我们在静态面板模型中测试了这两种措施,第一个模型使用普通最小二乘法(OLS),第二个模型使用可行广义最小二乘法(FGLS)。根据这些国家1980年至2006年的数据,我们确定金融发展对经济增长具有负向影响,且负向正相关关系不显著。这些结果与格兰杰因果检验结果相结合,表明中非经济共同体国家经济增长与金融发展之间存在单向因果关系。最后,我们提出了改善这种关系的政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Development and Economic Growth in CEMAC Countries
The main aim of this research work is to determine the relationship that exists between financial development and the growth rate of per capita real GDP in CEMAC countries using panel data estimation techniques. It emphasises the reciprocal impact of financial development on growth in order to determine the type of relationship that exist and make policy recommendations.To do this, we measured financial development and economic growth with the liquidity rate and the growth rate of per capita real GDP respectively. We tested these two measures in a static panel model using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) for the first model and Feasible Generalised Least Squares (FGLS) for the second. Based on the results obtained from data on these countries for the period from 1980 to 2006, we established that financial development negatively affects economic growth and that the inverse positive relationship is not significant. These results, coupled with those of Granger causality test, allow us to show that there exists a unidirectional causality running from economic growth to financial development in CEMAC countries. We concluded by making policy recommendations in order to ameliorate this relationship.
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