未来地球科学的三个视野

Iain Stewart, M. Capello, Hassina Mouri, Kombada Mhopjeni, Munira Raji
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引用次数: 0

摘要

地球科学与其他科学学科一样,在如何最好地应对气候变化、粮食不安全、生物多样性丧失、人类冲突和移民以及持续贫困等重大全球挑战方面,正面临越来越多的挑战。但它与开发地球自然资源以获取能源和材料的传统联系将其与当代对不可持续的人类行为的担忧联系在一起,可以说助长了越来越多的觉醒,最明显的是许多国家大学地球科学课程的入学率下降。因此,似乎迫切需要重新构建地球科学与社会的关系。为了响应这一需求,我们引入了“三个视野”概念,将复杂系统中的范式变化可视化,作为探索如何重新想象未来全球地球科学任务的工具。利用这一概念框架,我们考虑了三条平行的路径——“一切照旧”(视界1)、“创业”(视界2)和“有远见”(视界3)——它们为地球科学和地球科学家如何应对社会的重大挑战提供了不同的叙事轨迹。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Three Horizons for Future Geoscience
Geoscience, along with other scientific disciplines, is being increasingly challenged on how it can best confront key global challenges, such as climate change, food insecurity, biodiversity loss, human conflict and migration, and persistent poverty. But its traditional association with exploitation of the planet’s natural resources for energy and materials links it with contemporary concerns around unsustainable human practices, arguably fueling a growing disenchantment that is most evident in declining enrollment in university geoscience courses in many countries. Therefore, a fresh re-framing of the geoscience’s relationship to society would seem to be urgently needed. In response to this need, we introduce the “Three Horizons” concept for visualizing paradigm change in complex systems as a tool to explore how the future global geoscientific mission might be re-imagined. Using this conceptual framework, we consider three parallel pathways – “business as usual” (horizon 1), “entrepreneurial” (horizon 2) and “visionary” (horizon 3)—that offer alternative narrative trajectories for how geoscience and geoscientists might serve society’s grand challenges.
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