筛选游戏中代价高昂的自愿披露

Paul Pecorino, Mark van Boening
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引用次数: 9

摘要

我们对审前讨价还价进行了实验分析,同时允许在筛选博弈中昂贵的自愿披露私人信息。在这个博弈中,理论上的预测是,代价高昂的自愿披露不会发生。这取决于做出出价的人将从做出代价高昂的披露的玩家那里榨取所有共同的结算盈余这一预测。如果出于公平考虑而阻止了这种情况的发生,那么我们可能会观察到,在预计不会发生的情况下,披露代价高昂。我们的主要发现是,拥有有力证据的原告在42%的时间里披露了他们的私人信息,而理论上的预测是他们应该在0%的时间里这样做。在解释理论偏差时,公平考虑似乎很重要。对于一个强有力的原告来说,披露私人信息的回报大约为零,而理论预测这种回报应该是负的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Costly Voluntary Disclosure in a Screening Game
We conduct an experimental analysis of pretrial bargaining, while allowing for the costly voluntary disclosure of private information in a screening game. In this game, the theoretical prediction is that costly voluntary disclosures will not occur. This hinges on the prediction that the person making the offer will extract all the joint surplus of settlement from the player making the costly disclosure. If fairness considerations prevent this from occurring, then we may observe costly disclosures when none are predicted to occur. Our chief finding is that plaintiffs with a strong case reveal their private information 42% of the time, when the theoretical prediction is that they should do so 0% of the time. Fairness considerations appear to be important in explaining the deviation from theory. For a plaintiff with a strong case, the return to revealing private information is approximately zero, while theory predicts that this return should be negative.
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