驱动非洲能源使用的因素:来自撒哈拉以南非洲国家的面板数据证据

A. Kolawole, S. Adesola, Glauco De Vita
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引用次数: 9

摘要

撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家需要充足的能源来实现社会经济增长和发展。根据最近的统计数据,只有30%的人口能用上电,使该地区成为世界上没有电的人口最多的地区。这与可获得的丰富能源形成鲜明对比,这些能源可以用来提供所需的能源。本研究的目的是确定和分析SSA总能源需求的决定因素。可靠的二级宏观经济和能源数据是从公开和广泛使用的数据库中收集的。该研究使用面板协整技术来检查1980年至2014年期间该地区选定国家的SSA能源需求的决定因素。研究结果表明,收入是西南地区能源需求增长的主导因素,具有最高的弹性。此外,SSA的能源需求符合负价格弹性的先验预期。研究结果符合需求理论。值得注意的是,我们还发现城市化对能源需求起着重要作用。严格的节能政策和其他建议来自研究结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Factors that Drive Energy Use in Africa: Panel Data Evidence from Selected Sub‐Sahara African Countries
Sub‐Saharan African (SSA) countries need adequate energy to achieve socio‐economic growth and development. According to recent statistics, only 30 per cent of the entire population have access to power, making the region the highest in the world with people without access to electricity. This is in sharp contrast with the abundant energy resources available, which could be harnessed to provide the needed energy. The purpose of this study is to identify and analyse the determinants of aggregate energy demand in SSA. Reliable secondary macroeconomic and energy data were collected from publicly available and widely used databases. The study uses a panel cointegration technique to examine the determinants of energy demand in SSA, over the period from 1980 to 2014, for selected countries in the region. Our results reveal that income is the predominant factor behind the increase in energy demand in SSA, with the highest elasticity. Furthermore, energy demand in SSA conforms to a priori expectations of a negative price elasticity. The results are in line with the theory of demand. Significantly, we also find that urbanisation an important role for energy demand. Stringent energy conservation policy and other recommendations flow from the findings.
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