基于多主体的COVID-19模型:疾病动力学、接触者追踪干预和共享空间驱动的传染

Esteban Lanzarotti, L. Santi, R. Castro, Francisco Roslan, Leandro Groisman
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引用次数: 1

摘要

为了更好地了解COVID-19的传播动态和控制其影响的策略,已经开发了各种模拟模型。面对一种特征鲜为人知、影响前所未有的新型疾病,需要以一致的、正式的、灵活的、快速的方式对具有非常不同动力学的多个方面进行建模,以研究这些方面的综合相互作用。我们提出了一个基于智能体的模型,结合了智能体的运动学运动、它们与周围空间的相互作用以及对整个群体的集中控制。为了实现这一点,我们使用并扩展retQSS框架来建模和模拟与几何形状相互作用的粒子系统。我们研究了不同的接触者追踪策略及其在主要由室内空气传播驱动的流行过程中减少感染的效果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Multi-Aspect Agent-Based Model of COVID-19: Disease Dynamics, Contact Tracing Interventions and Shared Space-Driven Contagions
In the quest to better understand the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 and the strategies to control its impact a wide range of simulation models have been developed. Faced with a novel disease with little-known characteristics and unprecedented impacts, the need arises to model multiple aspects with very dissimilar dynamics in a consistent and formal, but also flexible and quick way to study the combined interaction of these aspects. We present an agent-based model combining kinematic movement of agents, interaction between them and their surrounding space, and centralized control over the entire population. To achieve this, we use and extend the retQSS framework to model and simulate particle systems that interact with geometries. We study different contact tracing strategies and their efficacy in reducing infections in a population going through an epidemic process driven mainly by indoor airborne contagion.
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