东南亚的就业和全球供应链

Christian Viegelahn, Phu. Huynh, Kee Beom Kim i
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摘要

近几十年来,东南亚已成为全球供应链(GSCs)的关键参与者,该地区参与全球供应链对劳动力市场产生了深远的影响。本文提出了2000-2021年对该地区gsc相关工作数量的新估计,估计2021年有7500万工人与gsc相关,即超过四分之一的工人。随着时间的推移,尽管出现了一些短期的剧烈波动和挫折,包括在2019冠状病毒病大流行的第一年2020年,但该地区越来越依赖全球服务提供商提供就业。本文还介绍了计量经济学分析的结果,发现该地区GSC参与的增加与提高工作质量的一些重要进展(尽管好坏参半)有关。虽然更深入的GSC一体化与工作贫困的迅速下降和劳动生产率的提高密切相关,但它也表明,GSC参与程度的提高与更高的工资就业、高技能就业和女性就业之间的积极关系仅限于特定部门。一些政策可以加强gsc和体面工作之间的联系。这些措施包括精心设计的社会保护和劳动力市场政策,以及对各种技能的投资,使各国能够转向价值链中附加值更高的环节。此外,深度贸易协定(其中越来越多地包括劳工条款)可以帮助加强更多的GSC参与与体面工作之间的联系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Jobs and global supply chains in South-East Asia
South-East Asia has become a key player in global supply chains (GSCs) during recent decades,and the region’s participation in GSCs has had a profound impact on labour markets. This paper presents new 2000–2021 estimates of the number of GSC-related jobs in the region, with an estimated 75 million workers linked to GSCs in 2021—or more than one in four workers. Over time, the region has become increasingly dependent on GSCs for employment despite some short periods of sharp volatility and setbacks, including in 2020, the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. The paper also presents the results of an econometric analysis, finding that the region’s increased GSC participation was associated with some important, albeit mixed, progress in improving job quality. While deeper GSC integration was robustly tied to a rapid decline in working poverty and gains in labour productivity, it also shows that a positive relationship between increased GSC participation and greater wage employment, high-skill employment, and female employment was limited to specific sectors. Several policies could strengthen the links between GSCs and decent work. These include well-designed social protection and labour market policies, and investments in a broad range of skills that allow countries to shift into higher value-added segments of a value chain. Also, deep trade agreements, which increasingly include labour provisions, can help strengthen the link between increased GSC participation and decent work.
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