基于大数据挖掘的数字人工智能“决策树”预测俄罗斯GDP价值,确保经济平衡和可持续增长

N. Lomakin, A. Shokhnekh, S. Sazonov, M. Maramygin, D. Tkachenko, O. Angel
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引用次数: 1

摘要

该研究的相关性在于,文章试图证明或证伪“AI-Decision Tree”神经网络模型可以获得各种情景下俄罗斯GDP预测的假设。本文研究了人工智能在大数据处理、深度学习和预测领域的各个方面的应用。然而,经验证明,为了实现金融和经济系统的平衡和可持续增长,人工智能应用的某些问题需要进一步的科学研究。研究了我国经济可持续增长的理论基础。作者回顾了现代国内外关于这一主题的文献,特别关注了现代条件下均衡的财政经济体制和可持续的经济增长问题。我们展示了增加风险和市场不确定性等因素,以实现基于开发的人工智能系统“决策树”的金融系统的平衡和可持续增长。金融和经济制度的运作趋势已经确定;2015-2018年期间,实体部门组织平衡利润量的动态已按季度跟踪。联邦国家统计局的实时数据显示,2017年,按当前价格计算,各组织(小型企业实体、银行、保险机构、州和市政机构除外)的平衡财务结果(利润除外)下降了8.5%。为了可视化有效因子GDP的动态变化,提出了一种“人工智能数据量化”的神经网络模型。为了实现金融系统的平衡和可持续增长,在人工智能系统的基础上开发了“决策树”。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Digital Ai "Decision Tree" for Predicting Russian GDP Value Based on Big Data Mining to Ensure Balanced and Sustainable Economic Growth
The relevance of the research study is due to the fact that the article attempts to prove or falsify the hypothesis that the "AI-Decision Tree" neural network model makes it possible to obtain a forecast of Russia's GDP for various scenarios. Various aspects of the AI application in the field of big data processing, deep learning and forecasting have been investigated in the article. However, experience has proven that, certain issues of using artificial intelligence require further scientific research in order to achieve a balanced and sustainable growth of the financial and economic system. Theoretical foundations of sustainable economic growth in the country have been studied. The authors have reviewed modern domestic and foreign literature on the topic and paid special attention to the issues of balanced financial and economic system and sustainable economic growth in modern conditions. We demonstrate the factors increasing risk and market uncertainty and other in order to achieve a balanced and sustainable growth of the financial system based on the AI-system "Decision Tree" developed. The trends in functioning of the financial and economic system have been determined; the dynamics of the balanced profit volumes in real sector organizations has been traced quarterly for the period of 2015-2018. Live data of the Federal State Statistics Service showed that the balanced financial result (profit except for loss) of organizations (apart from small business entities, banks, insurance organizations and state and municipal institutions) in current prices decreased by 8.5% in 2017. In order to visualize the dynamics of the effective factor - GDP a neural network model "AI-quantization of data" has been developed. In order to achieve a balanced and sustainable growth of the financial system based on the AI-system "Decision Tree" developed.
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