火山硫酸盐的纬向变化及其对气温的影响

Y. Chapanov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化受到二氧化碳、甲烷、一氧化二氮和氟化气体等人为温室气体排放增加的强烈影响。其他重要的气候变化大气因子是平流层的硫气溶胶,其将太阳辐射反射回空间的能力导致冷却效应。含硫气溶胶有共同的自然和人为来源。火山是平流层颗粒的主要来源,这些颗粒的寿命取决于各种大气过程——水凝结、降雨和风。Chapanov测定了太阳总辐照度(Total Solar Irradiance, TSI)对全球火山硫酸盐的长期影响,周期为93-230年[1]。Ammann等人创建了一个新的月度火山强迫数据集[8,9]。该数据集展示了火山活动对全球气候的季节性和纬度影响,其中火山活动的负辐射强迫在20世纪初和1960年以后是可见的。每月火山数据涵盖1890年至1999年期间。火山气溶胶在64个纬向带中计算,纬度步长为2.8°。将欧洲纬带(39.2 N ~ 56 N)硫气溶胶的变化与平均气温和太阳指数周期进行了比较。用偏傅立叶近似法(PFA)研究了温度循环和硫循环。这些周期在11个窄频带具有较好的一致性,周期在2.9 ~ 36.6年之间。讨论了这些结果在气候研究和预报中的应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
LATITUDINAL VARIATIONS OF VOLCANIC SULFATE AND ITS INFLUENCE ON AIR TEMPERATURE
The climate change is strongly affected by the increase of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, such as carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and fluorinated gases. Other important atmospheric factors of climate change are stratospheric sulfur aerosols, whose ability to reflect solar radiation back to the space cause cooling effect. Sulfur aerosols have common natural and anthropogenic origin. The volcanos are a major source of particles in the stratosphere, whose lifetime depends on various atmospheric processes � water condensation, rains and winds. Chapanov determines long-term influence of Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) on global volcanic sulfate with periodicity 93-230 years in [1]. A new monthly volcanic forcing dataset had been created by Ammann et al. [8,9]. This dataset presents the seasonal and latitudinal influence on global climate, where negative radiative forcing from volcanic activity is visible in the early 20th century and after 1960. The monthly volcanic data cover the period between 1890 and 1999. The volcanic aerosols are calculated in 64 zonal band with latitude step of 2.8 degrees. The variations of sulfur aerosols over European latitude belt (39.2 N � 56 N) are compared with mean temperature and cycles of solar Indices. Common temperature and sulfur cycles are investigated by means of the Method of Partial Fourier Approximation (PFA). These cycles have good agreement in 11 narrow frequency bands, whose periodicity are between 2.9 and 36.6 years. Possible use of the results in climate study and forecast is discussed.
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