基于股票分析师超图划分的众包股票聚类

John Robert Yaros, T. Imielinski
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在金融界,行业分类的使用是普遍的。它们对于获得均衡的股票投资组合至关重要,更广泛地说,对于风险管理至关重要。企业、学者和政府机构都研究和开发了各种各样的方案,取得了不同程度的成功。认识到主要的券商和研究公司倾向于分配他们的分析师覆盖高度相似的公司,我们提出了一个利用股票分析师覆盖任务的方案。虽然为高度相似的股票创建覆盖组并不是研究公司的直接目标,但这可能是他们成功的必要条件,因为增加覆盖范围的相似性有助于最大限度地发挥协同作用,并为每位分析师带来最大的价值。为了创建我们的行业方案,我们构造了一个超图,其中顶点表示股票,超边表示分析师覆盖范围,连接他/她的类似公司。在不使用额外信息的情况下,我们执行超图分区来形成股票簇。我们的可扩展方案可以产生任意数量的集群,并且可以随着研究公司改变分析师覆盖范围而自动更新,而不是今天的领先行业方案,只有固定数量的行业,需要定期专家审查。我们的众包方案能否与专家驱动方案的股票组质量相媲美?我们使用金融界的一种方法,对一个领先的学术方案和一个领先的商业方案进行了正面比较,该方法衡量股价变动的巧合。我们还将我们的方案与基于过去返回相关性创建组的集群进行比较。我们的结果可以与这三种方案相媲美,甚至经常超过它们。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Crowdsourced stock clustering through equity analyst hypergraph partitioning
Use of industry classifications in the finance community is pervasive. They are critical to deriving a balanced portfolio of stocks and, more broadly, to risk management. Businesses, academics and government agencies have all researched and developed various schemes with mixed success. Recognizing major brokerages and research firms tend to assign their analysts to cover highly similar companies, we propose a scheme that makes use of stock analyst coverage assignments. Although creating coverage groups of highly similar stocks is not the direct goal of research firms, it may be imperative to their success because increasing similarity in coverage helps maximize synergy and derive the most value per analyst. To create our industry scheme, we construct a hypergraph where vertices represent stocks and hyperedges represent analyst coverage, connecting his/her similar companies. Using no additional information, we perform hypergraph partitioning to form clusters of stocks. Our scalable scheme can produce any number of clusters and can automatically update as research firms change analyst coverage as opposed to today's leading industry schemes which have only fixed numbers of industries and require periodic expert review. Can our crowdsourced scheme match the quality of stock groups from the expert-driven schemes? We make head-to-head comparisons to a leading academic and a leading commercial scheme using a methodology from the finance community that measures the coincidence of stock price movements. We also compare our scheme against a clusterer that creates groups based on past return correlations. Our results rival and often exceed all three schemes.
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