俄罗斯地区卫生资本与经济增长关系研究(2013-2018)

M. Kaneva, G. Untura
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摘要

在过去几年中,在俄罗斯经济和政治领域,人们普遍认为,人口健康是经济增长的动力之一。虽然对卫生资本、卫生保健成本和经济增长之间的关系进行的研究很少,但在经济理论中没有一个普遍接受的模型,该模型得到了对个别国家和地区的实证检验的支持,可以解释这些变量之间的关系。本研究旨在解决这一差距,并在具有内生技术进步的经济增长模型中量化卫生资本和卫生保健成本对2013-2018年区域经济增长的影响。对于因变量人均gdp增长率,作者构建了两种规范的Arellano-Bond模型。模拟结果可以得出结论,即卫生资本的积累导致俄罗斯各地区经济增长加快。同时,在固定卫生资本水平下,政府卫生支出的增加并未导致2013-2018年人均国内生产总值增长率的提高,这可以解释为公共卫生支出普遍侧重于维持良好的流行病学形势和与个人健康没有直接关系的行业基础设施,以及地区人力资本积累水平可能不足。进一步的研究将侧重于在一个包括人力资本水平的扩展模型中评估卫生资本和卫生保健费用的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On the Relationship between Health Capital and Economic Growth in Russian Regions (2013–2018)
Over the last few years in the Russian economy and politics, it was generally agreed that the population’s health is one of the drivers of the economic growth. While little research has been done on the relationship between health capital, health care costs and economic growth, there is no generally accepted model in economic theory supported by empirical tests for individual countries and regions that would explain the relationship between these variables. This study aims to address this gap and quantifying the impact of health capital and health care costs on the regional economic growth in 2013–2018 within the economic growth model with endogenous technological progress. The authors constructed two specifications of the Arellano-Bond model for the dependent variable GRP per capita growth rate. The simulation results have made it possible to conclude that the accumulation of health capital leads to increased economic growth in the Russian regions. Simultaneously, an increase in government spending on health care at a fixed level of health capital did not result in an increase in GRP per capita growth rate in 2013–2018, which a number of factors can explain, i.e. general focus of public health expenditure on maintaining a favorable epidemiological situation and infrastructure of industries not directly related to individual health as well as possible insufficient level of human capital accumulation in the regions. Further research will focus on assessing the impact of health capital and health care costs in an extended model to include the level of human capital.
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