1月份对土耳其股市不同BIST指数的影响分析

Hakan Bilir
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引用次数: 1

摘要

多年来,有效市场理论一直是投资组合管理中唯一的控制理论。但行为金融学科挑战了有效市场假说的假设,特别是投资者理性的概念。它还将情感和心理学纳入了投资行为研究。“1月效应”——或者说1月份大多数月份普通股的异常高回报——一直是金融经济学中最有趣的问题之一。行为金融学试图将这些异常现象解释为股票市场中涉及的影响投资者行为和市场效率的心理和情感因素。本文采用Gu(2003)提出的功率比法对市场异常一月效应进行检验。采用徐100指数、徐海指数、徐马指数、徐海指数和徐泰指数2009- 2016年的月对数收益率进行分析。因此,土耳其股市的4个指数中,除1个指数外,其余5个指数均存在1月效应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Analysis of January Effect on Different BIST Indexes in Turkish Stock Markets
Efficient Market Theory has been the single and controlling theory of portfolio management for many years. But the Behavioural Finance discipline has challenged the assumptions of Efficient Market Hypothesis, particularly the investor rationality concept. It has incorporated emotion and psychology too into investment behaviour study. The January effect -or the abnormally large returns on common stocks in most months of January- has been one of the most intriguing issues in financial economics. Behavioral finance attempts to give some explanations about these anomalies as psychological and emotional factors involved in the stock market and that affect the behavior of investors and the market efficiency. In this article, January effect known as market anomalies is tested by power ratio method which is developed by Gu (2003). Monthly logarithmic returns of years 2009- 2016 for XU100, XUHIZ, XUMAL, XUSIN ve XUTEK Indexes are used in the analysis. Consequently, except one, existence of January effect is found at five of four indexes in Turkey stock market.
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