基于模糊逻辑的泗水-波戎哥罗公路改造项目风险分析

N. N. Rodhi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

基础设施发展是改善社会福利的努力之一,但在实施过程中,道路建设项目存在风险,这些风险可能对项目本身以及项目的外部方面产生影响。本研究以Bojonegoro - Surabaya KM 107道路加宽工程为例。本研究的目的是运用模糊逻辑对项目风险进行分析。根据分析结果,可以得出Bojonegoro - Surabaya高速公路拓宽项目存在10个风险因素,即噪音、空气污染、重型设备振动、交通事故、拥堵、停车位减少、道路使用者燃油消耗增加、周边地区居民收入减少、道路使用者之间的冲突、covid - 19。采用风险矩阵分析的结果显示,所有风险因素均处于中等水平,但采用模糊分析的结果显示,有2个风险因素处于较高水平,即交通拥堵和周边地区居民收入下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk Analysis of Surabaya – Bojonegoro Highway Improvement Project Based on Fuzzy Logic
Infrastructure development is one of the efforts to improve the welfare of the community, but in its implementation, road construction projects have risks that can have an impact on the project as well as on the external side of the project. This research is a case study on the road widening project of Bojonegoro – Surabaya KM 107. The purpose of this research is to analyze the risks in the project using fuzzy logic. Based on the results of the analysis, it can be concluded that the Bojonegoro - Surabaya highway widening project has 10 risk factors, namely noise, air pollution, heavy equipment vibration, traffic accidents, congestion, reduced parking space, increased fuel consumption of road users, decreased income of people in surrounding locations, conflict between road users, covid 19. The results of the analysis using a risk matrix, all risk factors are at a moderate level, but the results of the analysis using fuzzy, there are 2 risks that are at a high level, namely traffic congestion and a decrease in people's income in surrounding locations.
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