基于生成对抗网络的时间序列预测

Ao Di Ding
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引用次数: 0

摘要

GAN模型由LSTM作为时间序列生成器和ANN作为判别器组成,使用简单移动平均和指数加权移动平均结果作为GAN网络的输入特征,然后进行傅里叶变换,ARIMA创建输入特征,最后XGBoost对最终的预测数据进行过滤。GAN网络模型一般用于对抗图像生成,GAN对抗网络通常被训练为两个独立交替的网络:先训练识别网络,然后是生成网络,然后是识别网络,以此类推,直到达到纳什均衡。GAN的强大之处在于它可以自动定义潜在的损失函数。判别网络可以自动学习一个好的判别函数,等效理解为学习一个好的损失函数来比较判别结果的好坏。虽然整体的损失函数仍然是人为定义的,但判别网络潜在地学习了隐藏在网络中的损失函数,它因问题而异,从而可以自动学习潜在的损失函数。利用周的这种特殊性质来预测时间序列将是一种新的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction of Time Series Using Generative Adversarial Networks
The GAN model consists of an LSTM as the time series generator and an ANN as the discriminator, using the simple moving average and exponentially weighted moving average results as input features for the GAN network, followed by the Fourier transform, ARIMA to create the input features, and finally XGBoost to filter the final prediction data. The GAN network model is generally used for adversarial image generation, and the GAN adversarial network is usually trained as two separate and alternating networks: the recognition network is trained first, then the generation network, then the recognition network, and so on, until a Nash equilibrium is reached. The power of GAN is that it can automatically define the potential loss function. The discriminatory network can automatically learn a good discriminant, which is equivalently understood as learning a good loss function to compare good or bad discriminant results. Although the overall loss function is still artificially defined, the discriminant network potentially learns the loss function hidden in the network, which varies from problem to problem, so that the potential loss function can be learned automatically. Using this particular property of the week to predict time series would be a new approach.
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