基于外生信息的大可再生电网状态估计

Basel Morsy, M. AlSadat, David Pozo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

状态估计是电力系统基于测量确定系统状态变量的基本工具之一。当前状态估计问题的方法仅依赖于与电参数相关的直接测量和伪测量。在这项工作中,我们引入了一种方法,将与可再生能源生产相关的天气数据作为外生测量参数纳入状态估计问题。为了测试我们提出的框架,开发了一个仿真环境,并在一个5总线系统中进行了验证。通过运行100个模拟实验,研究了我们提出的框架的统计显著性和稳定性。我们还探索了统计测试分析,以检测不诚实的操纵可再生能源注入。我们的数值试验表明,外源天气参数测量的状态估计可以提高状态估计精度高达79%。我们还表明,在99%的置信度下,我们的框架能够检测出81.25%的不诚实案例和少量误报案例。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
State Estimation with Exogenous Information for Grids with Large Renewable Penetration
State estimation is one of the fundamental power system tools used in the determination of system state variables based on measurements. Current approaches for state estimation problems rely only on direct measurement and pseudo-measurements related with electric parameters only. In this work, we introduce a methodology for the inclusion of weather data, linked with renewable production, as exogenous measured parameters into the state estimation problem. To test our proposed framework, a simulation environment was developed and validated in a 5-bus system. Statistical significance and stability of our proposed framework were investigated by running 100 simulation experiments. We also, explored statistical test analysis for detection of dishonest manipulation of renewable power injected. Our numerical test showed that state estimation with exogenous weather parameter measurement could enhance state estimation accuracy by up to 79%. We also showed that, with 99% of confidence, our framework is able to detect 81.25% of dishonest cases with small cases of false positives.
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