基于物联网的枣树病虫害流行预测模型

Feng Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为减少枣树生产损失,制定更有效的虫害防治措施,本文研究了基于物联网技术的枣树虫害流行预测模型。基于物联网技术采集枣树生长数据,结合传感器技术和网络通信技术获取多源信息。提取了红枣图像的特征波段。去除无用的条带,保留图像的整体物理信息。建立了枣树病虫害流行预测模型,对稳定性较差的预测因子采用BP神经网络结构进行处理,实现预测。通过实验论证和分析,与实际病虫害发生程度相比较,该模型对枣树病虫害发生程度的预测曲线与实际发生程度曲线的变化趋势是一致的。与传统模型相比,该模型的预测误差较小,证明了该模型的有效性。本文所建立的模型能够在多源数据的基础上获得有效信息,得到更准确的预测结果,为制定病虫害防治计划,保证枣树高产稳产提供了科学的决策依据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction model of disease and pest epidemic of jujube based on Internet of Things
To reduce the loss of the jujube production and develop more effective pest control measures, this paper studies the prediction model of jujube pest epidemic based on the Internet of Things technology. The data of jujube growth was collected based on the Internet of Things technology, and multi-source information was obtained by combining sensor technology and network communication technology. The characteristic bands of the jujube image were extracted. The useless bands were removed, and the overall physical information of the image was retained. The prediction model of the jujube pest and disease epidemic situation was established, and the prediction factors with poor stability were processed by BP neural network structure to realize the prediction. Through experimental demonstration and analysis, compared with the actual occurrence degree of diseases and insect pests, the prediction curve of the occurrence degree of diseases and insect pests of jujube by this model is consistent with the changing trend of the actual occurrence degree curve. Compared with the traditional model, the prediction error of the proposed model is smaller, which proves that the proposed model is more effective. In this paper, the model can obtain effective information on the basis of multi-source data, and get more accurate prediction results, which provides a scientific basis for decision-making for the formulation of pest and disease control plan to ensure the high and stable yield of jujube.
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