J. Aristizabal, Carlos Motta, N. Obregon, C. Capachero, Leonardo Real, Julián Fernando Chaves
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引用次数: 0
摘要
Cenit Transporte y Logística de Hidrocarburos (Cenit)是哥伦比亚最大的油气输送系统运营商,拥有约7000公里的油气输送系统。该公司已经建立了一个战略联盟,利用监督学习算法构建自适应岩土敏感性分区。通过这个练习,已经实现了操作决策推理与简单的语言值。该方法提出的困难考虑到哥伦比亚的水文气候学,它是由影响不同尺度大气的几种气候变率现象所决定的,如热带辐合带- ITCZ的振荡(季节尺度)和厄尔Niño-La Niña南方涛动(ENSO)等宏观气候现象的发生(年际尺度)。同样,它考虑了来自不同地质构造环境的岩土复杂性,基础设施的延伸和地理分散,以及它与气候制度的相互作用,以区分基于水文气象起源的地质灾害的兴趣区域,当分为五个集群时。这项工作的结果突出了保持对影响油气运输系统基础设施的事件的可靠记录的重要性,并使用数据引导的智能技术来改进支持资产管理决策的工具。
Supervised Learning Algorithms Applied in the Zoning of Susceptibility by Hydroclimatological Geohazards
Cenit Transporte y Logística de Hidrocarburos (CENIT), operator of about 7000 km of hydrocarbon transport systems, which constitutes it the largest operator in Colombia, has developed a strategic alliance to structure an adaptive geotechnical susceptibility zoning using supervised learning algorithms. Through this exercise, has been implemented operational decision inferences with simple linguistic values.
The difficulties proposed by the method considers the hydroclimatology of Colombia, which is conditioned by several phenomena of Climate Variability that affect the atmosphere at different scales such as the Oscillation of the Intertropical Convergence Zone - ITCZ (seasonal scale) and the occurrence of macroclimatic phenomena such as El Niño-La Niña Southern Oscillation (ENSO) (interannual scale). Likewise, it considers the geotechnical complexity derived from the different geological formation environments, the extension and geographical dispersion of the infrastructure, and its interaction with the climatic regimes, to differentiate areas of interest based on the geohazards of hydrometeorological origin, when grouped into five clusters.
The results of this exercise stand out the importance of keep a robust record of the events that affect the infrastructure of hydrocarbon transportation systems and using data-guided intelligence techniques to improve the tools that support decision-making in asset management.