河北省梨生产评价指标体系及影响因素实证分析

Haiyang Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文运用灰色关联模型对河北省梨生产的主要影响因素进行了分析,结果表明,影响因素依次为:有效灌溉面积b>耕地面积b>淹没面积b>耕地面积b>农药用量b>农业基础建设投资>农民年纯收入>人均GDP >劳动力总量>农业机械总功率>肥料用量。灰色关联分析可以计算出影响因素与河北省梨产量的关联度,也可以计算出关联顺序,但不能得到影响程度,结果缺乏实用性。因此本文采用两两比较判断矩阵来解决灰色关联分析的不足。根据关联度和影响度的计算结果,在11个影响因素中,有效灌溉面积、耕地面积、淹没面积、农业面积、农药用量和农业基础建设投资的影响度总和结果达88.27%,这6个因素是影响河北省梨生产的主要因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Evaluation Index System and Empirical Analysis of Influential Factors of Pear Production in Hebei Province
In this article Grey Correlation Model is used to analyze the main factors affected pear production in Hebei Province, the result shows that the influences in order are: effective irrigation area > cultivated area > inundated area > agricultural acreage > amount of pesticide > investment of agricultural basic construction > annual net income per farmer > GDP per capita > amount of labor > total power of agricultural machinery > amount of fertilizer. Grey correlation analysis can calculate the correlation degree between influential factors and pear production in Hebei province, also can calculate correlation order, but cannot get influence degree, the result is lack of practicality. So in this article Pair-wise Comparison Judgment Matrix is adopted to solve the deficiency of Gray Correlation Analysis. According to the calculation result of correlation degree and influence degree, in the 11 factors, the total influence degree result of effective irrigation area, cultivated area, inundated area, agricultural acreage, amount of pesticide and investment of agricultural basic construction is up to 88.27%, the six factors are the main factors influencing pear production in Hebei province.
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