基于LSTM和DDQN的股票价格预测

Na Wu, Zongwu Ke, Lei Feng
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引用次数: 1

摘要

时间序列数据的预测是非常困难的。例如,股票价格属于时间序列。社会、政治、经济和文化的微小波动都可能影响股票市场中的股票。在股票市场中,人们对股票有一个大致的判断是非常重要的。因此,对股票的研究具有现实意义。实验证实了结果受数据集和状态的影响。国产化是由几天的收盘价预测的。在适当的状态大小使最终收益最高的前提下,在基于DQN的Q值改进算法添加正则化(DDQN)的前提下,证明了在不同的数据集下,添加长短期记忆(LSTM)和全连接层比只添加全连接层效果更好。DQN由神经网络和q学习组成。Q-learning是强化学习中的一种基本算法。在适当的状态化使最终收益最高的前提下,在加入正则化和LSTM的前提下,证明了DDQN算法优于DQN算法。最后,还证明了在一定的前提条件下,LSTM与DDQN的结合优于仅使用DQN和全连接层。这个实验的唯一指标是总利润。同时,本文采用收盘价进行预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock Price Forecast Based on LSTM and DDQN
The prediction of time series data is very difficult. For example, the price of stocks belongs to time series. Small fluctuations in society, politics, economy and culture may affect the stocks in the stock market. In the stock market, it is very important for people to have a general judgment on stocks. Therefore, the study of stocks has practical significance. This experiment confirms that the results are affected by the data set and statesize. Statesize is predicted by the closing price of several days.On the premise that the appropriate size of statesize makes the final profit the highest, and on the premise that improved algorithm of Q value based on DQN adds regularization (DDQN), it is proved that under different data sets, adding Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and full connection layer are better than only full connection layer. DQN is composed of neural network and Q-learning. Q-learning is a basic algorithm in reinforcement learning. And it is proved that DDQN algorithm is better than DQN on the premise that the appropriate statesize makes the final profit the highest, and on the premise of adding regularization and LSTM. Finally, it is also proved that under certain preconditions, the combination of LSTM and DDQN is better than only DQN and full connection layer. The only indicator of this experiment is the total profit. At the same time, this paper uses the closing price to predict.
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