降雨预报的混合机器学习模型

Hatem Abdel-Kader, M. A. Salam, Mona Mohamed
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引用次数: 18

摘要

最近几天,天气状况成为研究人员关注的焦点。在控制农业等许多领域的情况下,国家根据大气状况决定作物的种类。因此,了解未来几天的天气以采取预防措施是很重要的。预测未来的天气,特别是降雨,以防止洪水和其他降雨带来的风险,赢得了许多研究人员的关注。本文将粒子群算法(PSO)与前馈神经网络(FFNN)中常用的多层感知器(MLP)相结合,提出了一种强有力的混合预测技术。将PSO与MLP结合使用的目的不仅仅是为了预测降雨,而是为了提高网络的性能;通过对均方根误差(RMSE)的计算结果与各种反向传播(BP)算法(如Levenberg-Marquardt (LM))进行比较,证明了这一点。基于MLP的PSO的RMSE为0.14,而基于MLP的LM的RMSE为0.18。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Rainfall Forecasting
The state of the weather became a point of attraction for researchers in recent days. It control in many fields as agriculture, the country determines the types of crops depend on state of the atmosphere. It is therefore important to know the weather in the coming days to take precautions. Forecasting the weather in future especially rainfall won the attention of many researchers, to prevent flooding and other risks arising from rainfall. This Paper presents a vigorous hybrid technique was applied to forecast rainfall by combining Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) which is popular kind used in Feed Forward Neural Network (FFNN). The purpose of using PSO with MLP is not just to forecast the rainfall but, to improve the performance of the network; this was proved by comparison with various Back Propagation (BP) an algorithm such as Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) through results of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). RMSE for MLP based PSO is 0.14 while RMSE for MLP based LM is 0.18.
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CiteScore
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