考虑风电不确定性和碳交易的交/直流配电网络鲁棒优化调度

Junye Xi, Xiaoyang Tong, Zhi Li, Xingxing Dong, Yabing Wang, Zibin Zhao
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引用次数: 1

摘要

建立了历史数据驱动的交/直流配电网分布式鲁棒优化模型。本文首先对历史数据进行分析,利用Copula理论建立了风电误差与预测功率的联合概率分布,得到了一定预测功率下误差的条件概率分布。其次,将交直流混合配电网解耦为交流子网和直流子网,并以各自综合运行成本最小为优化目标,在交流子网优化中引入碳交易机制,建立交直流配电网分布式优化模型;第三,针对风电的不确定性,构造了基于KL散度的模糊集。本文以上述误差概率分布为参考分布,利用拉格朗日二象性理论将所提模型转化为单层线性优化目标,然后利用交替方向乘子法进行分布式求解。对改进后的33节点交/直流配电网系统模型进行了仿真实验,结果表明,该模型能有效降低配电网侧的碳排放,显著提高风电的消纳能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Distributionally Robust Optimal Scheduling for AC/DC Distribution Network Considering Wind Power Uncertainty and Carbon Trade
This paper establishes a distributed distributionally robust optimization model of the AC/DC distribution network driven by historical data. Firstly, this paper analyzes the historical data and uses Copula theory to establish the joint probability distribution of wind power error and forecast power, then obtains the conditional probability distribution of error under certain forecast power. Secondly, this paper decouples the AC/DC hybrid distribution network into AC subnetwork and DC subnetwork, and takes the minimum comprehensive operating cost of each as the optimization goal, among which the carbon trading mechanism is introduced in the AC subnet optimization, and the distributed optimization model of AC-DC distribution network is established. Thirdly, in view of the uncertainty of wind power, an ambiguous set based on KL divergence is constructed. This paper takes the aforementioned error probability distribution as a reference distribution, and the proposed model is converted into a single-layer linear optimization target by using Lagrange dualism theory, and then the distributed solution is performed by using the alternating direction multiplier method. Simulation experiments are carried out on the modified 33-nodes AC/DC distribution network system model, and the results show that the proposed model can effectively reduce the carbon emissions on the distribution network side and significantly improve the consumption capacity of wind power.
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