北极应许之地:格陵兰岛的独立与安全

J. Ash
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摘要

北极既不受全球非殖民化进程的影响,也不受气候变化的地缘政治影响。就格陵兰(Kalaallit Nunaat)而言,格陵兰人民要求从丹麦获得充分政治自治的愿望正在推动一个即将结束的分离主义进程。这一运动深深植根于格陵兰人民日益增长的文化认同感和对人民的信心,并在当前的政治话语中得到强烈体现。尽管格陵兰岛幅员辽阔,但人口很少。独立后,它将变成一个微型国家,在经济和其他问题上与其他国家一样,但处于一个战略位置。然而,争取独立的政治动力正在积聚。现在是就格陵兰国家地位的安全问题作出明确政策决定的时候了。必须解决实际的政策问题,既要保护主权权利,又要成为北极地区安全的新缔约国。如果没有健全的安全政策,独立将受到损害——或者更糟,可能导致公开冲突。为了更好地了解这些选择,本文考虑了新独立的格陵兰国家开放的五种主要国防政策选择,包括指示性成本。分析探讨了更普遍的政策应用主题,包括微观国家的独立和主权、中立和不结盟、气候变化方面以及微观国家对地区稳定的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Arctic Promised Land: Greenlandic Independence and Security
The Arctic is exempt neither from the global process of decolonial-ization, nor the geopolitical effects of climate change. In the case of Greenland (Kalaallit Nunaat), the desire on the part of the Greenlandic people for full political autonomy from Denmark is driving a secessionist process that stands on the threshold of conclusion. This movement has deep roots in a growing sense of Greenlandic cultural identity and confidence in the population and is strongly represented in the current political discourse. Despite its physical extent, Greenland has a small population. Independence would transform it into a microstate, sharing many of the economic and other problems common to such polities, but in a strategic location. However, the political drive toward independence is gathering momentum. The time is at hand for definitive policy decisions to be made regarding the security aspects of Greenlandic nationhood. Practical policy questions will have to be addressed, both for the protection of sovereign rights and as a new states party actor in the security of the Arctic region. Absent sound security policy, independence will be compromised—or worse, may lead to open conflict. To better inform these choices, this article considers five principal defense policy options open to a newly independent Greenlandic state, including indicative costs. The analysis explores themes of more general policy application, including microstate independence and sovereignty, neutrality, and non-alignment, aspects of climate change, and the influence of microstates on regional stability.
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