汇率制度对阿尔及利亚宏观经济变量的影响

Rafika Zidat, Nassira Amia
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究工作的目的是研究阿尔及利亚所采用的汇率制度对经济发展所必需的宏观经济变量的影响。Rafika ZIDAT博士,Rafika.zidat@univ-bejaia.dz,经济与发展实验室,经济与发展科学学院,商业与发展科学学院,贝贾亚大学,综上所述,2008 -2017年期间的发展,即国内生产总值、通货膨胀和失业情况。总体而言,经济增长与经济增长之间存在着巨大的差异。这就是为什么我们首先使用主成分分析(PCA)来突出重要的相关性并消除冗余变量。之后,我们使用线性回归模型,使我们能够检测阿尔及利亚在1988-2017年期间采用的不同汇率制度对GDP、通货膨胀和失业率的影响。因此,我们的贡献表明,中间汇率制度(有管理的浮动)在GDP和通胀方面带来了更好的结果。然而,刚性汇率制度伴随着较好的失业率表现。
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Effet Des Régimes De Change Sur Les Variables Macroéconomiques En Algérie
The purpose of this research work is to study the effect of the exchange rate regimes adopted by Algeria on the macroeconomic variables essential to the economic Dr. Rafika ZIDAT, Rafika.zidat@univ-bejaia.dz, Laboratoire d’Economie et Développement, Faculté Sciences économiques, commerciales, et des sciences de gestion, Université de Bejaia, Algérie Effet des régimes de change sur les variables macroéconomiques en Algérie Dr. RafikaZidat et Dr. NassiraAmia Revue internationale de la performance économique ISSN: 2661-7161 EISSN:2716-9073 Volume:04 N°:01 Année:2021 P: 173 development, namely: GDP, inflation and unemployment, over the period 1988-2017. That’s why, we, first,used principal component analysis (PCA), in order to highlight important correlations and eliminating redundantvariables.After that, we used linear regression models which allowed us to detect the effects of different exchange rate regimes that Algeria adopted during the period 1988-2017 on GDP, inflation and unemployment. Our contribution therefore, states that the intermediate exchange rate regime (managed float) brings better results in terms of GDP and inflation. Whereas, the rigid exchange rate regime is accompanied by a better performance of unemployment rates.
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