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The findings suggested that financial development indicators and their interactions with the policy rate influenced each channel of monetary policy with different degrees. Banking sector indicators (size and activity measures) had more influence on the channels of monetary policy transmission compared to capital market indicators, while financial market liberalization had the least influence on the channels of monetary policy transmission. However, the significance of the individual financial development indicators was found to be very weak on exchange rate channel, while the influence of the financial market indicators was strongest on the interest rate channel, thereby supporting previous studies that interest rate channel is the most dominant channel of monetary policy for Nigeria. 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引用次数: 2
摘要
本研究利用季度数据探讨了1986-2017年期间尼日利亚金融发展的不同方面对货币传导机制的影响。采用广义货币供应量、债务存量、股票市值、股票交易市值、存款货币银行资产总额、金融资产总额、私营部门信贷、通货膨胀率、货币政策利率、汇率、所有股票指数和产出等变量进行调查。本研究采用Pesaran, Shin, and Smith(2001)的ARDL框架来检验这些个体金融发展指标的影响,以及它们如何影响货币传导机制。研究结果表明,金融发展指标及其与政策利率的相互作用对货币政策的各个渠道都有不同程度的影响。与资本市场指标相比,银行业指标(规模和活动指标)对货币政策传导渠道的影响更大,而金融市场自由化对货币政策传导渠道的影响最小。然而,我们发现单个金融发展指标对汇率通道的影响非常弱,而金融市场指标对利率通道的影响最强,从而支持了以往的研究,即利率通道是尼日利亚货币政策最主要的通道。最后,本文建议,金融改革必须着眼于加强货币政策的实施,以及货币政策影响实体经济活动的渠道。
Financial Development and Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Nigeria (1986-2017)
This study explored the impacts of the different aspects of financial development on monetary transmission mechanism in Nigeria from the period of 1986-2017 using quarterly data. Variables such as broad money supply, debt stock, stock market capitalization, stock market value traded, total deposit money bank’s asset, total financial assets, private sector credit, inflation rate, monetary policy rate, exchange rate, all share index and output, were used to carry out this investigation. The study adopted Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001) ARDL framework to check the impacts of these individual financial development indicators and how they affect monetary transmission mechanism. The findings suggested that financial development indicators and their interactions with the policy rate influenced each channel of monetary policy with different degrees. Banking sector indicators (size and activity measures) had more influence on the channels of monetary policy transmission compared to capital market indicators, while financial market liberalization had the least influence on the channels of monetary policy transmission. However, the significance of the individual financial development indicators was found to be very weak on exchange rate channel, while the influence of the financial market indicators was strongest on the interest rate channel, thereby supporting previous studies that interest rate channel is the most dominant channel of monetary policy for Nigeria. Finally, the paper recommended that financial reforms must be geared towards strengthening the implementation of monetary policy and the channels through which monetary policies impact real economic activity.