附加安全视角下LNG接收站选择的AHP与PROMETHEE结合方法

P. D. Setyorini, A. Dinariyana, T. A. Akbar
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引用次数: 1

摘要

:为了减少排放和应对全球石油危机,印度尼西亚政府目前正计划将印度尼西亚目前使用燃料油的一些发电厂和船舶转换为天然气(LNG)。为了实现这一目标,必须准备LNG厂的基础设施,如建立接收站。将在印尼建造的LNG接收站之一是望加锡。望加锡的液化天然气接收站将作为一个枢纽,向印度尼西亚中部的一些发电厂输送天然气。因此,本研究提出了LNG接收站设计的两个阶段。第一阶段是选择在望加锡应用的最佳接收终端方案。有三种替代方案,即:浮动存储单元(FSU)和陆上再气化;浮动储存和再气化装置(FSRU);陆上液化天然气终端。第二阶段是通过火灾模型对选定的LNG接收站进行后果分析。望加锡LNG接收站的选择将采用富集评价偏好排序组织法(PROMETHEE)和层次分析法(AHP)相结合的方法进行。由于AHP具有良好的层次结构,因此该方法将用作标准和子标准的加权。采用PROMETHEE方法将AHP过程中各标准和子标准的权重结果用于排序过程,该方法将权重与备选方案的偏好相乘。两种方法的结合得出FSRU(浮动存储和再气化装置)具有第一等级,这意味着FSRU将被用作LNG接收终端。在选择过程中,进行了后果分析和火灾模拟,以确保FSRU的安全性。由模型可知,射流火灾和爆炸事件只会对码头和FSRU本身造成影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Combined AHP and PROMETHEE Method for Selecting the LNG Receiving Terminal with Additional Safety Perspective
: In the purposes of reducing emission and as response to the global oil crisis, the Government of Indonesia is currently planning to convert some power plants and ships in Indonesia that is currently using fuel oil to be converted to natural gas (LNG). To fulfil the target, the infrastructure for LNG plant must be prepared such as an establishment of receiving terminal. One of the LNG receiving terminal that will be built in Indonesia is Makassar. The LNG receiving terminal in Makassar will be used as a hub to distribute gas to some power plants in the central part of Indonesia. Hence, this study proposes two stages of designing LNG receiving terminal. The first stage is to select the best alternatives of receiving terminal to be applied in Makassar. There are three alternatives namely: Floating Storage Unit (FSU) and Onshore Regasification; Floating Storage and Regasification Unit (FSRU); and Onshore LNG terminal. The second stage is to conduct the consequence analysis of the selected LNG receiving terminal by means of fire modelling. The selection of LNG receiving terminal in Makassar will be done using a combination of Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluations (PROMETHEE) and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). Since AHP has a good hierarchy structure, this method will be used as a weighting of criteria and sub-criteria. The weighting result of criteria and sub-criteria from AHP process will be used for the ranking process using PROMETHEE, in this method the weighting will be multiplied with the alternatives preferences. A combination of both methods concluded that FSRU (Floating Storage and Regasification Unit) has the first rank, it means that FSRU will be applied as a LNG receiving terminal. After the selection process, the consequence analysis as well as fire modelling are conducted to assure that FSRU is safe. From the modelling, it can be concluded that only jetty and FSRU itself that will be affected by the fire event both jet fire and explosion.
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