基于lstm的股票预测建模与分析

Ruobing Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

就消费和投资而言,股票市场在一个国家的经济中扮演着重要的角色。对许多研究人员和分析师来说,预测股价一直是一项艰巨的任务。近年来的研究表明,长短期记忆(LSTM)网络模型在股票价格预测中表现良好,被认为是最精确的预测技术之一,特别是当它应用于较长的预测范围时。本文将LSTM网络模型的预测范围设置为1 ~ 10天,经过数据归一化等预处理操作后将数据推入构建的LSTM网络模型,并通过训练和测试设置epochs、batch_size、dropout、optimizer等参数的最优值。通过与线性回归、极端梯度增强(XGBoost)、Last Value和移动平均的比较,结果表明LSTM网络模型在较短的预测范围内并不优于其他模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
LSTM-based Stock Prediction Modeling and Analysis
The stock market plays an important role in the economy of a country in terms of spending and investment. Predicting stock prices has been a difficult task for many researchers and analysts. Research in recent years has shown that Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network models perform well in stock price prediction, and it is considered one of the most precise prediction techniques, especially when it is applied to longer prediction ranges. In this paper, we set the prediction range of the LSTM network model to 1 to 10 days, push the data into the built LSTM network model after pre-processing operations such as normalization of data, and set the optimal values of epochs, batch_size, dropout, optimizer and other parameters through training and testing. By comparing with Linear Regression, eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), Last Value and Moving Average, the results show that the LSTM network model does not perform better than other models when applied to a short forecasting horizon.
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