基于深度融合GRU-Stacking的数据信息预测

Quanli Pei, Yulong Chen, Yu Liu, Teng Li, Wei Zhang, Wenrui Xiong, Xinpin Jiang, Min Pan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

机器学习和深度学习目前被广泛用于预测数据信息。本文的目的是通过讨论一个常见的事件数据预测问题——自行车共享需求预测,来展示我们对这一领域的贡献。自行车共享项目显著减少了资源消耗和空气污染,但其缺点是主管部门无法根据站点的时空数据预测每个站点对自行车的需求,这可能会导致使用不必要的人力资源来动态平衡每个站点的自行车数量。在我们的工作中,我们提出了一个基于GRU-Stacking的模型来预测共享单车的需求,以解决上述问题。采用叠加集成学习策略构建第一层预测模型,采用两层GRU模型构建第二层预测模型,最后采用加权平均融合将两层预测结果进行融合,实现两层模型的深度融合,以提高模型的预测精度。结果表明,我们的模型在R2、RMSLE和MAPE三个评估指标上优于XGBoost、LightGBM、LCE和BiLSTM等流行的预测模型。这表明我们的模型非常适合于预测共享单车需求的任务,并且可以用于解决其他涉及数据信息预测的问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Data information prediction based on deep fusion GRU-Stacking
Machine learning and deep learning are currently widely used to predict data information. The purpose of this paper is to present our contribution to this field by discussing a common event data prediction problem-bicycle sharing demand prediction. The Bicycle Sharing Project has significantly reduced resource consumption and air pollution, but it suffers from the inability of the responsible authorities to predict the demand for bicycles at each station based on spatial and temporal data from the stations, which could result in the use of unnecessary human resources to dynamically balance the number of bicycles at each station. In our work, we propose a GRU-Stacking based model to predict the demand for shared bicycles to solve the above problems. The first level of the prediction model is built using the stacking ensemble learning strategy, the second level is built using the two-layer GRU model, and finally the results of the two levels are fused by weighted average fusion to deeply integrate the two models in order to improve the prediction accuracy of the model. The results demonstrated that our model outperforms popular prediction models like XGBoost, LightGBM, LCE and BiLSTM on three evaluation metrics, R2, RMSLE and MAPE. This shows that our model is well suited to the task of prediction the demand for shared bicycles and can be used to solve other problems involving data information prediction.
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