日内过滤交易的有效性

Ling Xin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们研究了日内交易的过滤交易规则,并探讨了基于日内波动寻找合适的过滤大小的问题。我们探讨了日波动幅度、已实现波动幅度和已实现波动率等日内波动估计量,并研究了具有一定波动率的一天的过滤器交易利润如何取决于过滤器的大小。采用二元薄板样条模型对日波动率、滤料大小和交易利润之间的预测-响应关系进行建模。结果表明,滤波交易规则总体上倾向于较大的波动率,而最优滤波尺寸随着波动率的增大而增大。研究还表明,在所有选择的日内波动率代理中,基于日波动率区间的估计是最可靠的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effectiveness of the intraday filter trading
In this paper, we study the filter trading rule for intraday trading and explore the problem of finding a suitable filter size based on intraday volatilities. We explore several intraday volatility estimators such as daily range, realized range and realized volatility and study how the filter trading profit for a day with certain volatility depends on the filter size. The bivariate thin plate spline model is used to model the predictor-responsor relationship between the daily volatility, filter size and trading profit. The estimation shows that filter trading rule favors large volatilities in general while the optimal filter size is increasing with the volatility. It also shows that the estimation based on daily range volatility is most reliable among all chosen intraday volatility proxies.
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