基于改进经济模型预测控制的虚拟电厂两阶段最优控制

Shuai Han, Leping Sun, Xiaoxuan Guo, Jianbin Lu
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摘要

为了应对水电机组无序运行对广西电网经济运行的不利影响,本文提出了一种基于改进经济模型预测控制的虚拟电厂。该模型由日前滚动优化和日内实时反馈修正两部分组成。日前滚动优化以虚拟电厂的运营利润最大化为日调度目标。根据风电输出预测域误差自适应选择预测域长度,通过多步滚动求解制定日前大规模调度计划;以滚动优化阶段控制方案为基准,调整设备运行状态,以应对风电小时间尺度的不确定变化。多场景算例分析表明,所提出的调度模型能够实现虚拟电厂的经济运行,有效应对风电输出的不确定性,实现水电机组的可控调节,验证了模型的可行性和正确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Two-stage Optimal Control of Virtual Power Plant based on Improved Economic Model Predictive Control
In order to cope with the adverse effects of the disordered operation of hydropower units on the economic operation of Guangxi Power Grid, this paper proposes a virtual power plant based on improved economic model predictive control. The model consists of two parts: day-ahead rolling optimization and intra-day real-time feedback correction. The day-ahead rolling optimization aims to maximize the operating profit of the virtual power plant as the day-a-day scheduling goal. The day-ahead large-scale scheduling plan is formulated through multi-step rolling solution, in which the prediction domain length is adaptively selected according to the wind power output prediction domain error; the intra-day feedback correction takes into account the operating cost, Use the rolling optimization stage control plan as a benchmark to adjust the operating status of the equipment to deal with the uncertain changes in the small time scale of wind power. The analysis of multi-scenario calculation examples shows that the proposed scheduling model can realize the economic operation of virtual power plants, effectively cope with the uncertainty of wind power output, and realize the controllable adjustment of hydropower units, which verifies the feasibility and correctness of the model.
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