铁路客运预测方法的一种探索

Third International Conference “Transport for Today’s Society “ Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI:10.20544/tts2021.1.1.21.p23

Slavko Veskovic, S. Milinkovic, G. Stojić, Norbert Pavlovic, I. Belošević

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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要:本文提出了一种方法来预测一条正在进行现代化改造的线路上的乘客数量，该线路将现有速度提高到160公里/小时。该预测分为两种情况:无项目和有项目。这个过程很复杂，涉及到相关方法、增长率、调查和启发式预测模型的应用。关键词:预测，铁路，启发式，调查。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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One Approach to Forecasting Methodology in Rail Passenger Traffic

Abstract –The paper presents a methodology for predicting the number of passengers on a line that is being modernized by increasing the existing speed to 160 km / h. The forecast was made for two scenarios: without project and with project. The process is complex and involves the application of correlation methods, growth rates, surveys, and heuristic forecasting models. Keywords –forecast, railway, heuristics, surveys.

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Third International Conference “Transport for Today’s Society “

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