{"title":"太阳10.7cm射电通量历史数据重建与预测方法","authors":"Juan Zhao, Yan-ben Han","doi":"10.1088/1009-9271/8/4/11","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We reconstruct the developing history of solar 10.7cm radio flux (F10.7) since 1848, based on the yearly sunspot number and the variations. A relationship between the maximum and the linear regression slope of the first 3 years starting from minimum of the solar cycle is considered. We put forward a method of predicting the maximum of F10.7 by means of the slope-maximum relationship. Running tests for cycles 19 to 23 indicate that the method can properly predict the peak of F10.7.","PeriodicalId":124495,"journal":{"name":"Chinese Journal of Astronomy and Astrophysics","volume":"48 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2008-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"11","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Historical Dataset Reconstruction and a Prediction Method of Solar 10.7cm Radio Flux\",\"authors\":\"Juan Zhao, Yan-ben Han\",\"doi\":\"10.1088/1009-9271/8/4/11\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We reconstruct the developing history of solar 10.7cm radio flux (F10.7) since 1848, based on the yearly sunspot number and the variations. A relationship between the maximum and the linear regression slope of the first 3 years starting from minimum of the solar cycle is considered. We put forward a method of predicting the maximum of F10.7 by means of the slope-maximum relationship. Running tests for cycles 19 to 23 indicate that the method can properly predict the peak of F10.7.\",\"PeriodicalId\":124495,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Chinese Journal of Astronomy and Astrophysics\",\"volume\":\"48 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2008-08-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"11\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Chinese Journal of Astronomy and Astrophysics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1088/1009-9271/8/4/11\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Chinese Journal of Astronomy and Astrophysics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1088/1009-9271/8/4/11","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Historical Dataset Reconstruction and a Prediction Method of Solar 10.7cm Radio Flux
We reconstruct the developing history of solar 10.7cm radio flux (F10.7) since 1848, based on the yearly sunspot number and the variations. A relationship between the maximum and the linear regression slope of the first 3 years starting from minimum of the solar cycle is considered. We put forward a method of predicting the maximum of F10.7 by means of the slope-maximum relationship. Running tests for cycles 19 to 23 indicate that the method can properly predict the peak of F10.7.