太阳10.7cm射电通量历史数据重建与预测方法

Juan Zhao, Yan-ben Han
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引用次数: 11

摘要

根据太阳黑子年数及其变化,重建了1848年以来太阳10.7cm射电通量(F10.7)的发展历史。考虑了从太阳周期最小值开始的前3年的最大值与线性回归斜率之间的关系。提出了利用斜率-最大值关系预测F10.7最大值的方法。周期19 ~ 23的运行测试表明,该方法可以正确预测F10.7的峰值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Historical Dataset Reconstruction and a Prediction Method of Solar 10.7cm Radio Flux
We reconstruct the developing history of solar 10.7cm radio flux (F10.7) since 1848, based on the yearly sunspot number and the variations. A relationship between the maximum and the linear regression slope of the first 3 years starting from minimum of the solar cycle is considered. We put forward a method of predicting the maximum of F10.7 by means of the slope-maximum relationship. Running tests for cycles 19 to 23 indicate that the method can properly predict the peak of F10.7.
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