发展中国家的腐败与增长:自营职业重要吗?

Sridevi Yerrabati
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摘要

摘要:在发展中国家,自谋职业是穷人在不稳定的环境下被迫采取的生存策略,腐败和经济增长的关系不能孤立地发挥作用。自营职业的收入不足可能使人们容易参与腐败,或者他们可能成为腐败的受害者。本研究旨在检验个体经营对腐败与增长关系的影响。本研究使用了2013-2018年期间79个发展中国家的样本。实证分析采用两步系统GMM估计技术。个体经营以男性个体经营、女性个体经营和总个体经营来衡量。考虑到2012年之前国际透明组织(Transparency International)的清廉指数(CPI)存在可比性问题,本研究采用了2012年之后的CPI数据。此外,该研究还利用边际效应提供了有关腐败对不同自营职业水平增长影响的实质性有意义的信息。乍一看,证据表明,自营职业在缓和腐败对经济增长的影响方面发挥着至关重要的作用。这是因为腐败对经济增长的影响不是一成不变的,而是根据个体经营的程度而有所不同。在所有三种形式的自营职业,即男性、女性和总数的情况下,腐败和增长在自营职业水平上比平均值高出一个标准差处呈负相关。这种负相关关系在平均值处不太明显。腐败和经济增长在低于平均值一个标准差处呈正相关。从本质上讲,这些结果表明,当更多的人自雇时,腐败会减缓经济增长。当个体经营者减少时,腐败会加速经济增长。这些发现对几个敏感性检查是可靠的。由于发现腐败对增长的影响因个体经营水平而异,任何不考虑个体经营水平的反腐败政策都可能被证明是无效的。因此,任何旨在减轻腐败对发展中国家增长影响的政策干预都应考虑到自营职业的水平。制定政策促进个体经营,提高他们的技能,帮助他们找到收入更高的工作,这是前进的方向。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Corruption and Growth in Developing Countries: Does Self-Employment Matter?
ABSTRACT:In developing countries where self-employment is a survival strategy forced on the poor due to their precarious circumstances, corruption and economic growth (growth) relationship cannot work in isolation. Insufficient earnings from self-employment can make people vulnerable to engage in corruption, or they might be victimized by it. The study aims to examine the impact of self-employment on corruption and growth relationship. A sample of 79 developing countries covering 2013-2018 is used. The empirical analysis is done using the two-step system GMM estimation technique. Self-employment is measured in male self-employment, female self-employment, and total self-employment. Following the comparability issues with the Corruption Perception Index (CPI) from Transparency International (TI) prior to 2012, the study employed CPI data after 2012. Further, the study has used marginal effects to provide substantially meaningful information on the impact of corruption on growth at varying levels of self-employment. Prima facie, evidence suggests that self-employment plays a vital role in moderating the effects of corruption on growth. This is because the effects of corruption on growth are not static, and they vary based on the levels of self-employment. In the case of all three forms of self-employment, i.e., male, female, and total, corruption and growth are negatively related at one standard deviation above the mean on self-employment levels. The negative relationship is less pronounced at the mean. Corruption and growth are positively related at one standard deviation below the mean. Substantively, these results imply that corruption decelerates growth when more individuals are self-employed. When fewer individuals are self-employed, corruption accelerates growth. These findings are robust to several sensitivity checks. As the effect of corruption on growth is found to vary based on the levels of self-employment, any anti-corruption policy that does not take on board the levels of self-employment might prove to be ineffective. Therefore, any policy intervention to mitigate the effects of corruption on the growth of developing countries should consider the levels of self-employment. Policies to foster self-employed and strengthen their skills to help them find better-earning jobs are a way forward.
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