加密货币市场日历异常的动态分析:适应性市场假说的证据

Carmen López-Martín
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文分析了加密货币市场中被称为一周中的一天和一年中的月份的影响。考虑了11种加密货币的收盘价。该研究采用了虚拟变量回归技术,方差分析和弗里德曼测试来评估两种日历异常,一周中的一天和一年中的月份的影响。为了测试这些日历效应,我们对两个长度的滚动样本间隔应用了全样本和滚动回归技术。此外,我们还研究了加密货币在一周中的一天和一年中的一个月的回报中是否存在长记忆。研究结果提供了证据,证明加密货币回报率存在一周中的一天和一年中的一个月的影响,特别是在周四和11月。此外,应该补充的是,目前研究的总体结果表明,加密货币市场中的日历效应是动态的,而不是静态的,这表明日历效应是一种随时间变化的现象。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dynamic analysis of calendar anomalies in cryptocurrency markets: evidences of adaptive market hypothesis
ABSTRACT This paper analyses the effects known as the day of the week and the month of the year in the cryptocurrency markets. The closing values of eleven cryptocurrencies have been considered. The study employs dummy variable regression techniques, ANOVA and Friedman tests for assessing two calendar anomalies, the day-of-week and month-of-year effects. To test these calendar effects, we have applied both full sample and rolling-regression techniques for two lengths of the rolling sample intervals. Furthermore, we have examined the existence of long memory in day-of-the- week and month-of-the-year cryptocurrency returns. The results provide evidence about the existence of day-of-the-week and month-of-the-year effects in cryptocurrency returns, in particular, on Thursdays and in November. In addition, it should be added that the general results of the current study show that the calendar effect in the cryptocurrency market is dynamic rather than static, which indicates that the calendar effect is a phenomenon that varies over time.
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