随机波动下标准普尔500指数期权的间接推理定价方法

Jinghong Shu, Jin E. Zhang
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引用次数: 25

摘要

本文在第二步中研究了SP的价格,采用非线性最小二乘法估计风险溢价λ、现货方差vt和资产收益与波动率的相关系数ρ,该方法使横截面期权价格与相应模型价格的误差平方和最小。通过直接比较计算出的期权模型价格与市场价格来评估模型的性能。我们发现,Black-Scholes模型和Heston模型都对价外期权定价过高,对价内期权定价过低,但偏差程度不同。赫斯顿模型在几乎所有的货币成熟度组中都明显优于布莱克-斯科尔斯模型。平均而言,赫斯顿模型可以减少约25%的定价误差。然而,赫斯顿模型中仍然存在定价偏差。特别是,赫斯顿模型总是高估短期期权,这表明可能还需要一些其他因素,如随机跳变,来解释期权价格。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PRICING S&P 500 INDEX OPTIONS UNDER STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY WITH THE INDIRECT INFERENCE METHOD
This paper studies the price of SP in the second step, the risk premium, λ, the spot variance, vt, and the correlation coefficient between the asset return and its volatility, ρ, are estimated by a nonlinear least-squares method that minimizes the sum of the squares of the error between the cross-sectional option price and the corresponding model price. The model performance is assessed by directly comparing the computed option model price with the market price. We find that both the Black–Scholes model and the Heston model overprice the out-of-the-money options and underprice the in-the-money options, but the degree of the bias is different. The Heston model significantly outperforms the Black–Scholes model in almost all moneyness-maturity groups. On average, the Heston model can reduce pricing errors by about 25%. However, pricing bias still exists in the Heston model. In particular, the Heston model always overprices short-term options, indicating that some other factors, such as the random jump, may also be needed to explain the option price.
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