{"title":"关于确定性因素的概率解释的一些问题","authors":"D. Qiu, J. Dudeck","doi":"10.1109/CBMS.1992.245013","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Some problems identified by J.B. Adams (Mathemat. Biosciences, vol.32, p.177, 1976) in the MYCIN-model are discussed. It is found that these problems are related only with an inappropriate interpretation for certainty factors assigned to rules. This interpretation is purely formal and has no influence upon the actual elicitation and use of such factors. It is pointed out that one of D. Heckerman's (1986) arguments about the MYCIN-model is incorrect. Then, the interpretations for certainty factors given by Heckerman, namely, CF/sub 1/, CF/sub 2/, are critically reviewed. It is shown that similar problems to those in the original MYCIN-model exist also in CF/sub 1/ and CF/sub 2/. This supports further the point of view that certainty factors should not be interpreted as a measure of belief-updating.<<ETX>>","PeriodicalId":197891,"journal":{"name":"[1992] Proceedings Fifth Annual IEEE Symposium on Computer-Based Medical Systems","volume":"50 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1992-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"6","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Some problems related with probabilistic interpretations for certainty factors\",\"authors\":\"D. Qiu, J. Dudeck\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/CBMS.1992.245013\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Some problems identified by J.B. Adams (Mathemat. Biosciences, vol.32, p.177, 1976) in the MYCIN-model are discussed. It is found that these problems are related only with an inappropriate interpretation for certainty factors assigned to rules. This interpretation is purely formal and has no influence upon the actual elicitation and use of such factors. It is pointed out that one of D. Heckerman's (1986) arguments about the MYCIN-model is incorrect. Then, the interpretations for certainty factors given by Heckerman, namely, CF/sub 1/, CF/sub 2/, are critically reviewed. It is shown that similar problems to those in the original MYCIN-model exist also in CF/sub 1/ and CF/sub 2/. This supports further the point of view that certainty factors should not be interpreted as a measure of belief-updating.<<ETX>>\",\"PeriodicalId\":197891,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"[1992] Proceedings Fifth Annual IEEE Symposium on Computer-Based Medical Systems\",\"volume\":\"50 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1992-06-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"6\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"[1992] Proceedings Fifth Annual IEEE Symposium on Computer-Based Medical Systems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/CBMS.1992.245013\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"[1992] Proceedings Fifth Annual IEEE Symposium on Computer-Based Medical Systems","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CBMS.1992.245013","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Some problems related with probabilistic interpretations for certainty factors
Some problems identified by J.B. Adams (Mathemat. Biosciences, vol.32, p.177, 1976) in the MYCIN-model are discussed. It is found that these problems are related only with an inappropriate interpretation for certainty factors assigned to rules. This interpretation is purely formal and has no influence upon the actual elicitation and use of such factors. It is pointed out that one of D. Heckerman's (1986) arguments about the MYCIN-model is incorrect. Then, the interpretations for certainty factors given by Heckerman, namely, CF/sub 1/, CF/sub 2/, are critically reviewed. It is shown that similar problems to those in the original MYCIN-model exist also in CF/sub 1/ and CF/sub 2/. This supports further the point of view that certainty factors should not be interpreted as a measure of belief-updating.<>
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