青年就业的影响:来自纽约市暑期青年就业计划彩票的证据

Alexander M. Gelber, A. Isen, Judd B. Kessler
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引用次数: 25

摘要

鼓励年轻人参与劳动力市场活动的项目,包括公共就业项目和工作机会税收抵免(Work Opportunity Tax Credit)等工资补贴,可以从三个方面得到支持。他们可以:(1)向参与者提供同期收入支持;(2)鼓励参与者获得能够改善未来就业和/或教育成果的工作经验;和/或(3)让参与者“远离麻烦”。我们研究了纽约市夏季青年就业计划(SYEP)的随机抽签,该计划是美国最大的夏季青年就业计划,通过将SYEP的294,580名彩票参与者的管理数据与美国国税局关于美国税务记录的数据相结合。在评估这三个基本原理时,我们发现:(1)参加中小企业创业项目导致平均收入和就业概率在参与项目的年份有所增加,但对其他收入和就业有适度的挤出;(2)参与中小企业项目后3年平均收入适度下降,对高校招生没有影响;(3)参与SYEP降低了被监禁的概率和死亡率,这对分析该计划的净收益具有重要和潜在的关键意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effects of Youth Employment: Evidence from New York City Summer Youth Employment Program Lotteries
Programs to encourage labor market activity among youth, including public employment programs and wage subsidies like the Work Opportunity Tax Credit, can be supported by three broad rationales. They may: (1) provide contemporaneous income support to participants; (2) encourage work experience that improves future employment and/ or educational outcomes of participants; and/or (3) keep participants “out of trouble.” We study randomized lotteries for access to New York City’s Summer Youth Employment Program (SYEP), the largest summer youth employment program in the U.S., by merging SYEP administrative data on 294,580 lottery participants to IRS data on the universe of U.S. tax records. In assessing the three rationales, we find that: (1) SYEP participation causes average earnings and the probability of employment to increase in the year of program participation, with modest crowd out of other earnings and employment ; (2) SYEP participation causes a moderate decrease in average earnings for three years following the program and has no impact on college enrollment; and (3) SYEP participation decreases the probability of incarceration and decreases the probability of mortality , which has important and potentially pivotal implications for analyzing the net benefits of the program.
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