俄罗斯精英阶层的权贵阶层根源:30年后

K. Petrov, Maria Snegovaya, Denis Chubarov
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摘要

这篇文章致力于理解俄罗斯政治精英的起源。根据2021年的经验材料,作者研究了被称为“nomenklatura”的苏联管理阶级中的社会关系是否是决定俄罗斯政治精英顶层地位的重要因素。为了探索俄罗斯政治精英的起源,我们采用了跨方法论的方法以及基于追踪其社会起源的研究方法。我们的实证基础是一个用于识别精英的原始数据库,包括两个精英榜单,位置和声誉榜单。我们分析的职位名单包括112名在2021年8月初在权力结构中担任重要职位的人士。用于分析的声誉名单包括100位人物,基于被广泛引用的专家模型“政治局2.0”。为了建立当前俄罗斯政治精英与我们称为苏联“权贵阶层”的社会群体之间的联系,我们使用了组合方法。我们分配并总结了职业、家庭和教育环境的“nomenklatura”遗产等级。根据研究结果,得出了以下结果:在位置列表中,112个人物中有59个(52.6%)与苏联的命名法有关(总评分为2分及以上),而在声誉列表中- 100个中有50个(50%)。基于对两份独立名单的描述性比较分析,我们得出结论,在现代俄罗斯顶级精英中,至少有一半的当代精英演员具有这种背景,另有13-15%的人具有相当大的概率。值得注意的是,我们发现,无论精英人物名单是基于何种方法,获得认可的比例都是如此。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nomenklatura Roots of the Russian Elite: 30 Years Later
The article is devoted to understanding the origins of the Russian political elite. Relying on the empirical material of 2021, the authors study whether social ties in the Soviet managing class called “nomenklatura” is an important factor determining the position within the top echelon of the Russian political elite. In order to explore the genesis of the Russian political elite, we used a cross-methodological approach as well as the research method based on tracking their social origin. Our empirical basis is an original database for identifying elites including two elite lists, positional and reputational ones. The positional list for our analysis includes 112 personalities who hold positions in power structures provided with significant influence at the beginning of August 2021. The reputation list for analysis includes 100 personalities, based on the widely cited expert model “Politburo 2.0”. To set up the connection between the current Russian political elite and the social group known to us as the Soviet “nomenklatura”, we use the combined method. The “nomenklatura” heritage rating given for career, family and educational environment we assigned and summarized. Based on the results of the study, the following results were reached: as for the positional list, 59 out of 112 personalities (52.6%) are related to the Soviet nomenclature (total ratings of 2 and above), as for the reputation list - 50 out of 100 (50%). Based on a descriptive comparative analysis of two independent lists, we conclude that at least a half of contemporary elite actors have this kind of background among the modern Russian top-tier elite, and another 13-15% can relate to it with a significant degree of probability. It is noticeable that the proportion we found approved regardless of the approach the list of elite personalities is based on.
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