主权债务危机期间,欧元区是否出现了传染效应?

Nico Asperti, Gabriele Vedovati, Luca Vuerich
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是检测主权债务危机期间欧元区国家是否存在金融传染效应。为了达到这一目的,作者将通过事件研究方法和简单回归模型分析传染效应,调查相关的欧洲新闻稿(现在称为新闻)如何影响信用违约掉期(CDS)的表现,CDS是一种广泛使用的信用衍生品,能够保护投资者免受交易对手无力偿还债务的影响。在研究中,作者将考虑三个欧洲国家的CDS,如希腊、德国和英国,它们之间的经济和货币条件不同。总而言之,研究的结果将强调,在选定的新闻和欧元区国家,希腊和德国之间存在金融传染;而没有足够的证据表明英国的CDS会受到传染。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Have Contagion Effects Occurred in the Eurozone During the Sovereign Debt Crisis?
The aim of this paper is to detect the existence of financial contagion effects in the Eurozone countries during the sovereign debt crisis. To achieve this purpose, the authors will analyse the contagion effects through the event study methodology and simple regression model, investigating how relevant European press releases (since now called news) affected the performance of Credit Default Swap (CDS), which is a widely used type of credit derivative able to protect an investor from the counter-party's inability to repay its debt. In the study the authors will consider the CDS of three European countries, such as Greece, Germany and United Kingdom, which have different economic and monetary conditions between each other. In conclusion, the outputs of the study will highlight that a financial contagion exists among the selected news and the Eurozone countries, Greece and Germany; whereas there is no considerable evidence of contagion on United Kingdom’s CDS.
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